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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

JEF United Chiba v FC Tokyo: numbers & prediction

J1 League · Japan · Fukuda Denshi Arena

JEF United Chiba

LWL
1–2
FT

FC Tokyo

WLWD
JEF United Chiba 17%Draw 23%FC Tokyo 60% Expected goals 0.79 – 1.89
83%
Betarazi pick

FC Tokyo or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.20 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

10/10Rating
1.25Odds
2

Value bet: FC Tokyo to win @ 1.90 – our chance 60% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultFC Tokyo to win ✓60% · @1.90
Double chanceFC Tokyo or draw ✓83% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓10% · fair 10.33

JEF United Chiba vs FC Tokyo: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

11:00 WAT, Wednesday 18 March: JEF United Chiba v FC Tokyo in the J1 League, played at Fukuda Denshi Arena. In the table, JEF United Chiba are 10th, in the drop zone, on 12 points after 18 matches; FC Tokyo are 2nd (among the top four) with 37. There are 25 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

JEF United Chiba, last 3: LWL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Yokohama F. Marinos, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

FC Tokyo, last 4: WLWD Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Yokohama F. Marinos, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Momentum favours FC Tokyo, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.0 for JEF United Chiba.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give JEF United Chiba 0.8 xG, FC Tokyo 1.9 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 57%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – JEF United Chiba 17%, draw 23%, FC Tokyo 60%.
  • Lower-risk option: FC Tokyo or draw (83%) at 1.25.
  • GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.73.
  • Price worth noting: FC Tokyo to win @1.90 – the bookmaker implies 53%, our ratings say 60%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was FC Tokyo or draw (83%, odds 1.25 – longer than our fair 1.20, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: JEF United Chiba 0–1 FC Tokyo. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

JEF United Chiba17%fair 5.97 · @3.85
Draw23%fair 4.28 · @3.55
FC Tokyo60%fair 1.67 · @1.90
2.68Expected goals
0.79JEF United Chiba xG
1.89FC Tokyo xG
57%Both score
50%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–113%
0–212%
1–110%
1–210%
0–38%
0–07%

From our goals model: JEF United Chiba 0.8 – 1.9 FC Tokyo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultFC Tokyo to win ✓60%1.671.90 ▲
Double chanceFC Tokyo or draw ✓83%1.201.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓57%1.761.73
Draw no betFC Tokyo (draw no bet) ✓78%1.28–
Asian handicapFC Tokyo -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓63%1.58–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74%1.361.30
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗50%1.991.85
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓72%1.401.33
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓86%1.171.11
First team to scoreFC Tokyo to score first ✓66%1.52–
Half-time resultFC Tokyo ahead at half-time ✓45%2.22–
Half-time / full-timeHT FC Tokyo / FT FC Tokyo ✓40%2.49–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓10%10.33–

Recent results

JEF United Chiba – last 3

LWL
14 Mar@ Yokohama F. Marinos0–2L
7 Marvs Kashiwa Reysol2–1W
27 Feb@ Machida Zelvia1–2L
1.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

FC Tokyo – last 4

WLWD
7 Marvs Yokohama F. Marinos3–0W
28 Febvs Kashiwa Reysol0–2L
21 Feb@ Kawasaki Frontale2–1W
14 Febvs Urawa1–1D
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between JEF United Chiba and FC Tokyo.

JEF United Chiba vs FC Tokyo head-to-head page →

J1 League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Kashima181503+2045
2FC Tokyo181305+1437
3Machida Zelvia181305+637
4Kawasaki Frontale181008-228
5Tokyo Verdy181008-428
6Urawa187011+325
7Yokohama F. Marinos186012-320
8Kashiwa Reysol187011-220
9Mito Hollyhock186012-1618
10JEF United Chiba183015-1612

More J1 League predictions

League hub
FT Cerezo Osaka1 Fagiano Okayama2 153%1.95X24%3.50223%3.60 1.7–1.1xG 1XCerezo Osaka or draw 77%@1.28 ✗
– Avispa Fukuoka1 Shimizu S-pulse1 Pens 4–5 135%2.62X27%3.25238%2.62 1.2–1.2xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 77%@1.22 ✓
FT Mito Hollyhock1 Yokohama F. Marinos0 132%2.55X26%3.20242%2.75 1.2–1.6xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 73%@1.38 ✗
FT Nagoya Grampus2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima1 127%3.10X24%3.40249%2.20 1.1–1.8xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 75%@1.33 ✓
FT Tokyo Verdy0 Kawasaki Frontale2 130%3.20X25%3.30244%2.20 1.2–1.7xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 75%@1.33 ✓
– Vissel Kobe2 Gamba Osaka2 Pens 3–5 155%1.75X25%3.65220%4.50 1.7–1.0xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 75%@1.28 ✓
FT V-varen Nagasaki1 Kyoto Sanga2 136%2.65X27%3.35237%2.50 1.3–1.3xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 73%@1.28 ✓
FT Machida Zelvia0 Kashima3 144%2.33X27%3.25229%3.00 1.5–1.1xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 75%@1.25 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for JEF United Chiba vs FC Tokyo?

Our pick is FC Tokyo or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win JEF United Chiba vs FC Tokyo?

On our numbers JEF United Chiba have a 17% chance of winning, the draw 23% and FC Tokyo 60%.

How many goals will there be in JEF United Chiba vs FC Tokyo?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for JEF United Chiba vs FC Tokyo?

Our predicted score is JEF United Chiba 0–1 FC Tokyo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is JEF United Chiba vs FC Tokyo?

JEF United Chiba vs FC Tokyo (J1 League) kicks off on Wednesday 18 March 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Fukuda Denshi Arena.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.