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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

V-varen Nagasaki v Kyoto Sanga: numbers & prediction

J1 League · Japan · Peace Stadium

V-varen Nagasaki

WLWWL
1–2
FT

Kyoto Sanga

LLWWD
V-varen Nagasaki 36%Draw 27%Kyoto Sanga 37% Expected goals 1.25 – 1.31
73%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.37 · bookmaker 1.28 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.28Odds

Picks by market

ResultKyoto Sanga to win ✓37% · @2.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓8% · fair 12.08

V-varen Nagasaki vs Kyoto Sanga: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Kyoto Sanga travel to face V-varen Nagasaki on Wednesday 18 March in the J1 League, with Peace Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 11:00 WAT. In the table, V-varen Nagasaki are 9th, in the drop zone, on 21 points after 18 matches; Kyoto Sanga are 8th (in the drop zone) with 23. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

V-varen Nagasaki, last 5: WLWWL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Avispa Fukuoka, at home. Goals for and against: 1.4 scored, 1.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.

Kyoto Sanga, last 5: LLWWD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Cerezo Osaka, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give V-varen Nagasaki 1.3 xG, Kyoto Sanga 1.3 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 57%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – V-varen Nagasaki 36%, draw 27%, Kyoto Sanga 37%.
  • GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.62.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (73%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: V-varen Nagasaki 1–1 Kyoto Sanga. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

V-varen Nagasaki36%fair 2.76 · @2.65
Draw27%fair 3.77 · @3.35
Kyoto Sanga37%fair 2.68 · @2.50
2.56Expected goals
1.25V-varen Nagasaki xG
1.31Kyoto Sanga xG
57%Both score
49%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
0–110%
1–010%
1–28%
2–18%
0–08%

From our goals model: V-varen Nagasaki 1.3 – 1.3 Kyoto Sanga expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultKyoto Sanga to win ✓37%2.682.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73%1.361.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓57%1.771.62
Draw no betKyoto Sanga (draw no bet) ✓51%1.97–
Asian handicapV-varen Nagasaki +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗62%1.61–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73%1.371.28
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗51%1.961.93
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓72%1.391.35
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓86%1.161.12
First team to scoreKyoto Sanga to score first47%2.12–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓44%2.30–
Half-time / full-timeHT Kyoto Sanga / FT Kyoto Sanga ✗22%4.56–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓8%12.08–

Recent results

V-varen Nagasaki – last 5

WLWWL
15 Marvs Avispa Fukuoka1–0W
8 Mar@ Gamba Osaka2–3L
28 Febvs Cerezo Osaka1–0W
21 Feb@ Nagoya Grampus3–1W
13 Feb@ Vissel Kobe0–2L
1.4Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
40%Both scored
40%Over 2.5

Kyoto Sanga – last 5

LLWWD
14 Marvs Cerezo Osaka1–2L
8 Mar@ Fagiano Okayama0–1L
27 Feb@ Sanfrecce Hiroshima2–1W
22 Febvs Avispa Fukuoka2–0W
14 Feb@ Shimizu S-pulse1–1D
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
60%Both scored
40%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between V-varen Nagasaki and Kyoto Sanga.

V-varen Nagasaki vs Kyoto Sanga head-to-head page →

J1 League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Vissel Kobe181107+435
2Cerezo Osaka181107+931
3Nagoya Grampus181008+231
4Sanfrecce Hiroshima181008+830
5Gamba Osaka181008+628
6Fagiano Okayama188010-326
7Shimizu S-pulse188010-224
8Kyoto Sanga188010-623
9V-varen Nagasaki187011-821
10Avispa Fukuoka187011-1021

More J1 League predictions

League hub
FT Cerezo Osaka1 Fagiano Okayama2 153%1.95X24%3.50223%3.60 1.7–1.1xG 1XCerezo Osaka or draw 77%@1.28 ✗
– Avispa Fukuoka1 Shimizu S-pulse1 Pens 4–5 135%2.62X27%3.25238%2.62 1.2–1.2xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 77%@1.22 ✓
FT JEF United Chiba1 FC Tokyo2 117%3.85X23%3.55260%1.90 0.8–1.9xG X2FC Tokyo or draw 83%@1.25 ✓
FT Mito Hollyhock1 Yokohama F. Marinos0 132%2.55X26%3.20242%2.75 1.2–1.6xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 73%@1.38 ✗
FT Nagoya Grampus2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima1 127%3.10X24%3.40249%2.20 1.1–1.8xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 75%@1.33 ✓
FT Tokyo Verdy0 Kawasaki Frontale2 130%3.20X25%3.30244%2.20 1.2–1.7xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 75%@1.33 ✓
– Vissel Kobe2 Gamba Osaka2 Pens 3–5 155%1.75X25%3.65220%4.50 1.7–1.0xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 75%@1.28 ✓
FT Machida Zelvia0 Kashima3 144%2.33X27%3.25229%3.00 1.5–1.1xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 75%@1.25 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for V-varen Nagasaki vs Kyoto Sanga?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.

Who will win V-varen Nagasaki vs Kyoto Sanga?

On our numbers V-varen Nagasaki have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Kyoto Sanga 37%.

How many goals will there be in V-varen Nagasaki vs Kyoto Sanga?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for V-varen Nagasaki vs Kyoto Sanga?

Our predicted score is V-varen Nagasaki 1–1 Kyoto Sanga, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is V-varen Nagasaki vs Kyoto Sanga?

V-varen Nagasaki vs Kyoto Sanga (J1 League) kicks off on Wednesday 18 March 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Peace Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.