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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Machida Zelvia v Kashima: numbers & prediction

J1 League · Japan · National Olympic Stadium

Machida Zelvia

WWDWW
0–3
FT

Kashima

WWWWW
Machida Zelvia 44%Draw 27%Kashima 29% Expected goals 1.48 – 1.06
75%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.33 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.25Odds

Picks by market

ResultMachida Zelvia to win ✗44% · @2.33
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.90

Machida Zelvia vs Kashima: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Machida Zelvia welcome Kashima to National Olympic Stadium for a J1 League fixture on Wednesday 18 March (11:30 WAT). In the table, Machida Zelvia are 3rd, among the top four, on 37 points after 18 matches; Kashima are 1st (leading the league) with 45.

Current form

Machida Zelvia, last 5: WWDWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Kashiwa Reysol, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Kashima, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Kawasaki Frontale, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.4 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Kashima, collecting 3.0 points per game to 2.3 for Machida Zelvia.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Machida Zelvia 1.5 xG, Kashima 1.1 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 53%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Machida Zelvia 44%, draw 27%, Kashima 29%.
  • GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.83.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (75%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Machida Zelvia 1–1 Kashima. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Machida Zelvia44%fair 2.29 · @2.33
Draw27%fair 3.74 · @3.25
Kashima29%fair 3.39 · @3.00
2.54Expected goals
1.48Machida Zelvia xG
1.06Kashima xG
53%Both score
46%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
1–012%
2–19%
2–09%
0–18%
0–08%

From our goals model: Machida Zelvia 1.5 – 1.1 Kashima expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultMachida Zelvia to win ✗44%2.292.33
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73%1.371.28
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗53%1.891.83
Draw no betMachida Zelvia (draw no bet) ✗60%1.67–
Asian handicapKashima +1 (Asian handicap) ✓69%1.44–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓71%1.411.36
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗54%1.841.70
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75%1.331.25
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓88%1.131.07
First team to scoreMachida Zelvia to score first ✗54%1.86–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗43%2.30–
Half-time / full-timeHT Machida Zelvia / FT Machida Zelvia ✗28%3.57–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%10.90–

Recent results

Machida Zelvia – last 6

WWDWWD
14 Mar@ Kashiwa Reysol1–0W
10 Marvs Gangwon FC1–0W
3 Mar@ Gangwon FC0–0D
27 Febvs JEF United Chiba2–1W
17 Febvs Chengdu Better City3–2W
14 Febvs Mito Hollyhock2–2D
1.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Kashima – last 5

WWWWW
14 Marvs Kawasaki Frontale1–0W
7 Marvs Tokyo Verdy2–0W
28 Feb@ Urawa3–2W
21 Febvs Kashiwa Reysol2–0W
14 Febvs Yokohama F. Marinos1–0W
1.8Scored / game
0.4Conceded / game
20%Both scored
20%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Machida Zelvia and Kashima.

Machida Zelvia vs Kashima head-to-head page →

J1 League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Kashima181503+2045
2FC Tokyo181305+1437
3Machida Zelvia181305+637
4Kawasaki Frontale181008-228
5Tokyo Verdy181008-428
6Urawa187011+325
7Yokohama F. Marinos186012-320
8Kashiwa Reysol187011-220
9Mito Hollyhock186012-1618
10JEF United Chiba183015-1612

More J1 League predictions

League hub
FT Cerezo Osaka1 Fagiano Okayama2 153%1.95X24%3.50223%3.60 1.7–1.1xG 1XCerezo Osaka or draw 77%@1.28 ✗
– Avispa Fukuoka1 Shimizu S-pulse1 Pens 4–5 135%2.62X27%3.25238%2.62 1.2–1.2xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 77%@1.22 ✓
FT JEF United Chiba1 FC Tokyo2 117%3.85X23%3.55260%1.90 0.8–1.9xG X2FC Tokyo or draw 83%@1.25 ✓
FT Mito Hollyhock1 Yokohama F. Marinos0 132%2.55X26%3.20242%2.75 1.2–1.6xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 73%@1.38 ✗
FT Nagoya Grampus2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima1 127%3.10X24%3.40249%2.20 1.1–1.8xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 75%@1.33 ✓
FT Tokyo Verdy0 Kawasaki Frontale2 130%3.20X25%3.30244%2.20 1.2–1.7xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 75%@1.33 ✓
– Vissel Kobe2 Gamba Osaka2 Pens 3–5 155%1.75X25%3.65220%4.50 1.7–1.0xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 75%@1.28 ✓
FT V-varen Nagasaki1 Kyoto Sanga2 136%2.65X27%3.35237%2.50 1.3–1.3xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 73%@1.28 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Machida Zelvia vs Kashima?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Machida Zelvia vs Kashima?

On our numbers Machida Zelvia have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Kashima 29%.

How many goals will there be in Machida Zelvia vs Kashima?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Machida Zelvia vs Kashima?

Our predicted score is Machida Zelvia 1–1 Kashima, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Machida Zelvia vs Kashima?

Machida Zelvia vs Kashima (J1 League) kicks off on Wednesday 18 March 2026 at 11:30 (West Africa Time) at National Olympic Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.