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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

V-varen Nagasaki v Vissel Kobe: numbers & prediction

J1 League · Japan · Peace Stadium

V-varen Nagasaki

LWLWL
2–2
–Pens 3–2

Vissel Kobe

WLLLW
V-varen Nagasaki 18%Draw 26%Vissel Kobe 56% Expected goals 0.93 – 1.68
73%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.36 · bookmaker 1.28 · Lost ✗

8/10Rating
1.28Odds

Picks by market

ResultVissel Kobe to win ✗56% · @1.73
Double chanceVissel Kobe or draw ✓82% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗73% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.37

V-varen Nagasaki vs Vissel Kobe: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Vissel Kobe travel to face V-varen Nagasaki on Sunday 17 May in the J1 League, with Peace Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 05:00 WAT. In the table, V-varen Nagasaki are 9th, in the drop zone, on 21 points after 18 matches; Vissel Kobe are 1st (leading the league) with 35. There are 14 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

V-varen Nagasaki, last 5: LWLWL Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Cerezo Osaka, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Vissel Kobe, last 5: WLLLW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Kyoto Sanga, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Vissel Kobe, collecting 1.5 points per game to 1.0 for V-varen Nagasaki.

Head to head

When they last met (13 Feb 2026) it ended Vissel Kobe 2–0 V-varen Nagasaki.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give V-varen Nagasaki 0.9 xG, Vissel Kobe 1.7 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 51%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – V-varen Nagasaki 18%, draw 26%, Vissel Kobe 56%.
  • Lower-risk option: Vissel Kobe or draw (82%) at 1.18.
  • GG/NG: GG (51%) at 1.85.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (73%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: V-varen Nagasaki 0–1 Vissel Kobe. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

V-varen Nagasaki18%fair 5.41 · @4.75
Draw26%fair 3.86 · @3.55
Vissel Kobe56%fair 1.80 · @1.73
2.61Expected goals
0.93V-varen Nagasaki xG
1.68Vissel Kobe xG
51%Both score
48%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–112%
1–111%
0–210%
1–210%
0–07%
1–07%

From our goals model: V-varen Nagasaki 0.9 – 1.7 Vissel Kobe expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultVissel Kobe to win ✗56%1.801.73
Double chanceVissel Kobe or draw ✓82%1.231.18
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓51%1.951.85
Draw no betVissel Kobe (draw no bet)75%1.33–
Asian handicapV-varen Nagasaki +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓70%1.43–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓72%1.391.33
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗52%1.921.80
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗73%1.361.28
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓87%1.151.09
First team to scoreVissel Kobe to score first60%1.68–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓42%2.38–
Half-time / full-timeHT Vissel Kobe / FT Vissel Kobe ✗34%2.96–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10%10.37–

Recent results

V-varen Nagasaki – last 6

LWLWLL
9 May@ Cerezo Osaka2–3L
6 Mayvs Fagiano Okayama2–1W
3 Mayvs Nagoya Grampus1–2L
29 Apr@ Shimizu S-pulse2–1W
18 Apr@ Sanfrecce Hiroshima0–2L
11 Apr@ Avispa Fukuoka0–1L
1.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Vissel Kobe – last 6

WLLLWW
13 Mayvs Kyoto Sanga1–0W
10 Mayvs Fagiano Okayama0–3L
2 May@ Gamba Osaka0–5L
20 Aprvs Al-Ahli Jeddah1–2L
5 Apr@ Fagiano Okayama4–1W
1 Aprvs Shimizu S-pulse2–0W
1.3Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

13 Feb 2026Vissel Kobe v V-varen Nagasaki2–0
V-varen Nagasaki vs Vissel Kobe head-to-head page →

J1 League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Vissel Kobe181107+435
2Cerezo Osaka181107+931
3Nagoya Grampus181008+231
4Sanfrecce Hiroshima181008+830
5Gamba Osaka181008+628
6Fagiano Okayama188010-326
7Shimizu S-pulse188010-224
8Kyoto Sanga188010-623
9V-varen Nagasaki187011-821
10Avispa Fukuoka187011-1021

More J1 League predictions

League hub
FT JEF United Chiba0 Kashima2 117%5.00X23%3.60260%1.68 0.9–1.8xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 73%@1.33 ✓
FT Fagiano Okayama2 Shimizu S-pulse0 143%2.40X27%3.10230%3.00 1.5–1.1xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 75%@1.22 ✓
FT Cerezo Osaka6 Nagoya Grampus1 143%2.30X24%3.45233%2.88 1.7–1.3xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 78%@1.25 ✓
FT Kyoto Sanga0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima4 123%3.55X23%3.60253%1.95 1.0–1.7xG X2Sanfrecce Hiroshima or draw 77%@1.28 ✓
– Kawasaki Frontale1 Machida Zelvia1 Pens 5–4 130%3.00X26%3.40244%2.25 1.1–1.5xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 74%@1.28 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for V-varen Nagasaki vs Vissel Kobe?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.

Who will win V-varen Nagasaki vs Vissel Kobe?

On our numbers V-varen Nagasaki have a 18% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Vissel Kobe 56%.

How many goals will there be in V-varen Nagasaki vs Vissel Kobe?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for V-varen Nagasaki vs Vissel Kobe?

Our predicted score is V-varen Nagasaki 0–1 Vissel Kobe, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is V-varen Nagasaki vs Vissel Kobe?

V-varen Nagasaki vs Vissel Kobe (J1 League) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 05:00 (West Africa Time) at Peace Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.