Fagiano Okayama vs Shimizu S-pulse: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 17 May the J1 League brings Fagiano Okayama against Shimizu S-pulse at City Light Stadium. Kick-off: 06:00 WAT. In the table, Fagiano Okayama are 6th, lower half, on 26 points after 18 matches; Shimizu S-pulse are 7th (lower half) with 24. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Fagiano Okayama, last 5: WLWWL Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Vissel Kobe, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Shimizu S-pulse, last 5: WLLWL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Kyoto Sanga, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Fagiano Okayama 1.5 xG, Shimizu S-pulse 1.1 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 53%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Fagiano Okayama 43%, draw 27%, Shimizu S-pulse 30%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.83.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (75%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Fagiano Okayama 1–1 Shimizu S-pulse. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Fagiano Okayama43%fair 2.31 · @2.40
Draw27%fair 3.77 · @3.10
Shimizu S-pulse30%fair 3.32 · @3.00
2.61Expected goals
1.51Fagiano Okayama xG
1.11Shimizu S-pulse xG
53%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–011%
2–19%
2–08%
0–18%
0–07%
From our goals model: Fagiano Okayama 1.5 – 1.1 Shimizu S-pulse expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Fagiano Okayama to win✓
43%
2.31
2.40
Double chance
Either team to win✓
73%
1.36
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.89
1.83
Draw no bet
Fagiano Okayama (draw no bet)✓
59%
1.70
–
Asian handicap
Shimizu S-pulse +1 (Asian handicap)✗
70%
1.43
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.85
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
1.07
First team to score
Fagiano Okayama to score first✓
53%
1.87
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.34
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Fagiano Okayama / FT Fagiano Okayama✓
28%
3.62
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.86
–
Recent results
Fagiano Okayama – last 6
WLWWLL
10 May
@ Vissel Kobe
3–0
W
6 May
@ V-varen Nagasaki
1–2
L
2 May
vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1–0
W
25 Apr
vs Avispa Fukuoka
2–0
W
11 Apr
@ Kyoto Sanga
1–5
L
5 Apr
vs Vissel Kobe
1–4
L
1.5Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Shimizu S-pulse – last 6
WLLWLW
2 May
@ Kyoto Sanga
2–1
W
29 Apr
vs V-varen Nagasaki
1–2
L
25 Apr
vs Nagoya Grampus
0–2
L
5 Apr
@ V-varen Nagasaki
3–0
W
1 Apr
@ Vissel Kobe
0–2
L
22 Mar
vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima
3–1
W
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Fagiano Okayama and Shimizu S-pulse.
What is the prediction for Fagiano Okayama vs Shimizu S-pulse?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Fagiano Okayama vs Shimizu S-pulse?
On our numbers Fagiano Okayama have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Shimizu S-pulse 30%.
How many goals will there be in Fagiano Okayama vs Shimizu S-pulse?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Fagiano Okayama vs Shimizu S-pulse?
Our predicted score is Fagiano Okayama 1–1 Shimizu S-pulse, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Fagiano Okayama vs Shimizu S-pulse?
Fagiano Okayama vs Shimizu S-pulse (J1 League) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time) at City Light Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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