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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Kawasaki Frontale v Machida Zelvia: numbers & prediction

J1 League · Japan · Kawasaki Todoroki Stadium

Kawasaki Frontale

LWLLW
1–1
–Pens 5–4

Machida Zelvia

WWWWW
Kawasaki Frontale 30%Draw 26%Machida Zelvia 44% Expected goals 1.12 – 1.50
74%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.35 · bookmaker 1.28 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.28Odds

Picks by market

ResultMachida Zelvia to win ✗44% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✗74% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.90

Kawasaki Frontale vs Machida Zelvia: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Kawasaki Frontale welcome Machida Zelvia to Kawasaki Todoroki Stadium for a J1 League fixture on Sunday 17 May (11:00 WAT). In the table, Kawasaki Frontale are 4th, among the top four, on 28 points after 18 matches; Machida Zelvia are 3rd (among the top four) with 37.

Current form

Kawasaki Frontale, last 5: LWLLW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Kashiwa Reysol, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Machida Zelvia, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over JEF United Chiba, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 5 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Machida Zelvia, collecting 2.5 points per game to 1.5 for Kawasaki Frontale.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Kawasaki Frontale 1.1 xG, Machida Zelvia 1.5 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 58%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Kawasaki Frontale 30%, draw 26%, Machida Zelvia 44%.
  • GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.62.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (74%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Kawasaki Frontale 1–1 Machida Zelvia. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Kawasaki Frontale30%fair 3.37 · @3.00
Draw26%fair 3.84 · @3.40
Machida Zelvia44%fair 2.26 · @2.25
2.62Expected goals
1.12Kawasaki Frontale xG
1.50Machida Zelvia xG
58%Both score
50%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
0–111%
1–29%
0–28%
1–08%
0–07%

From our goals model: Kawasaki Frontale 1.1 – 1.5 Machida Zelvia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultMachida Zelvia to win ✗44%2.262.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✗74%1.351.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓58%1.731.62
Draw no betMachida Zelvia (draw no bet)60%1.67–
Asian handicapKawasaki Frontale +1 (Asian handicap) ✓70%1.42–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74%1.351.28
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗50%1.991.83
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓71%1.401.36
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓86%1.171.12
First team to scoreMachida Zelvia to score first ✓53%1.88–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗43%2.34–
Half-time / full-timeHT Machida Zelvia / FT Machida Zelvia ✗27%3.66–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%10.90–

Recent results

Kawasaki Frontale – last 6

LWLLWW
10 May@ Kashiwa Reysol0–1L
6 Mayvs Tokyo Verdy1–0W
2 May@ FC Tokyo0–2L
29 Apr@ Urawa0–2L
25 Aprvs JEF United Chiba2–1W
18 Apr@ Yokohama F. Marinos2–1W
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Machida Zelvia – last 6

WWWWWL
10 May@ JEF United Chiba2–0W
6 Mayvs Yokohama F. Marinos2–0W
21 Aprvs Shabab Al Ahli Dubai1–0W
17 Aprvs Al-Ittihad FC1–0W
11 Aprvs Kashiwa Reysol1–0W
1 Aprvs FC Tokyo0–3L
1.2Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
0%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Kawasaki Frontale and Machida Zelvia.

Kawasaki Frontale vs Machida Zelvia head-to-head page →

J1 League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Kashima181503+2045
2FC Tokyo181305+1437
3Machida Zelvia181305+637
4Kawasaki Frontale181008-228
5Tokyo Verdy181008-428
6Urawa187011+325
7Yokohama F. Marinos186012-320
8Kashiwa Reysol187011-220
9Mito Hollyhock186012-1618
10JEF United Chiba183015-1612

More J1 League predictions

League hub
– V-varen Nagasaki2 Vissel Kobe2 Pens 3–2 118%4.75X26%3.55256%1.73 0.9–1.7xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 73%@1.28 ✗
FT JEF United Chiba0 Kashima2 117%5.00X23%3.60260%1.68 0.9–1.8xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 73%@1.33 ✓
FT Fagiano Okayama2 Shimizu S-pulse0 143%2.40X27%3.10230%3.00 1.5–1.1xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 75%@1.22 ✓
FT Cerezo Osaka6 Nagoya Grampus1 143%2.30X24%3.45233%2.88 1.7–1.3xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 78%@1.25 ✓
FT Kyoto Sanga0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima4 123%3.55X23%3.60253%1.95 1.0–1.7xG X2Sanfrecce Hiroshima or draw 77%@1.28 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Kawasaki Frontale vs Machida Zelvia?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.

Who will win Kawasaki Frontale vs Machida Zelvia?

On our numbers Kawasaki Frontale have a 30% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Machida Zelvia 44%.

How many goals will there be in Kawasaki Frontale vs Machida Zelvia?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Kawasaki Frontale vs Machida Zelvia?

Our predicted score is Kawasaki Frontale 1–1 Machida Zelvia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Kawasaki Frontale vs Machida Zelvia?

Kawasaki Frontale vs Machida Zelvia (J1 League) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Kawasaki Todoroki Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.