Wednesday 11 November 2026 20 live now 66% correct · last 30 days JackpotsNewsTelegram18+
BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Cerezo Osaka v Nagoya Grampus: numbers & prediction

J1 League · Japan · Yodoko Sakura Stadium

Cerezo Osaka

WLWWL
6–1
FT

Nagoya Grampus

WWWWW
Cerezo Osaka 43%Draw 24%Nagoya Grampus 33% Expected goals 1.67 – 1.32
78%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.25Odds

Picks by market

ResultCerezo Osaka to win ✓43% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.79

Cerezo Osaka vs Nagoya Grampus: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

07:00 WAT, Sunday 17 May: Cerezo Osaka v Nagoya Grampus in the J1 League, played at Yodoko Sakura Stadium. In the table, Cerezo Osaka are 2nd, among the top four, on 31 points after 18 matches; Nagoya Grampus are 3rd (among the top four) with 31. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Cerezo Osaka, last 5: WLWWL Their latest outing: 3–2 win over V-varen Nagasaki, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Nagoya Grampus, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Kyoto Sanga, at home. 2.3 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Nagoya Grampus, collecting 3.0 points per game to 1.5 for Cerezo Osaka.

Head to head

When they last met (4 Apr 2026) it ended Nagoya Grampus 3–0 Cerezo Osaka.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Cerezo Osaka 1.7 xG, Nagoya Grampus 1.3 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 56% for three or more goals, 60% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Cerezo Osaka 43%, draw 24%, Nagoya Grampus 33%.
  • GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.57.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (78%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Cerezo Osaka 1–1 Nagoya Grampus. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Cerezo Osaka43%fair 2.31 · @2.30
Draw24%fair 4.20 · @3.45
Nagoya Grampus33%fair 3.04 · @2.88
2.99Expected goals
1.67Cerezo Osaka xG
1.32Nagoya Grampus xG
60%Both score
56%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
2–19%
1–08%
1–27%
2–07%
0–17%

From our goals model: Cerezo Osaka 1.7 – 1.3 Nagoya Grampus expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultCerezo Osaka to win ✓43%2.312.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76%1.311.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓60%1.671.57
Draw no betCerezo Osaka (draw no bet) ✓57%1.76–
Asian handicapNagoya Grampus +1 (Asian handicap) ✗69%1.44–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78%1.281.25
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓56%1.801.75
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗66%1.521.42
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗82%1.221.15
First team to scoreCerezo Osaka to score first53%1.88–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗40%2.53–
Half-time / full-timeHT Cerezo Osaka / FT Cerezo Osaka ✓28%3.62–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%10.79–

Recent results

Cerezo Osaka – last 6

WLWWLL
9 Mayvs V-varen Nagasaki3–2W
25 Apr@ Sanfrecce Hiroshima1–2L
18 Aprvs Kyoto Sanga3–0W
11 Apr@ Gamba Osaka1–0W
4 Apr@ Nagoya Grampus0–3L
18 Marvs Fagiano Okayama1–2L
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Nagoya Grampus – last 6

WWWWWW
10 Mayvs Kyoto Sanga3–0W
6 Mayvs Gamba Osaka2–1W
3 May@ V-varen Nagasaki2–1W
25 Apr@ Shimizu S-pulse2–0W
4 Aprvs Cerezo Osaka3–0W
18 Marvs Sanfrecce Hiroshima2–1W
2.3Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

4 Apr 2026Nagoya Grampus v Cerezo Osaka3–0
Cerezo Osaka vs Nagoya Grampus head-to-head page →

J1 League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Vissel Kobe181107+435
2Cerezo Osaka181107+931
3Nagoya Grampus181008+231
4Sanfrecce Hiroshima181008+830
5Gamba Osaka181008+628
6Fagiano Okayama188010-326
7Shimizu S-pulse188010-224
8Kyoto Sanga188010-623
9V-varen Nagasaki187011-821
10Avispa Fukuoka187011-1021

More J1 League predictions

League hub
– V-varen Nagasaki2 Vissel Kobe2 Pens 3–2 118%4.75X26%3.55256%1.73 0.9–1.7xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 73%@1.28 ✗
FT JEF United Chiba0 Kashima2 117%5.00X23%3.60260%1.68 0.9–1.8xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 73%@1.33 ✓
FT Fagiano Okayama2 Shimizu S-pulse0 143%2.40X27%3.10230%3.00 1.5–1.1xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 75%@1.22 ✓
FT Kyoto Sanga0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima4 123%3.55X23%3.60253%1.95 1.0–1.7xG X2Sanfrecce Hiroshima or draw 77%@1.28 ✓
– Kawasaki Frontale1 Machida Zelvia1 Pens 5–4 130%3.00X26%3.40244%2.25 1.1–1.5xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 74%@1.28 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Cerezo Osaka vs Nagoya Grampus?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Cerezo Osaka vs Nagoya Grampus?

On our numbers Cerezo Osaka have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Nagoya Grampus 33%.

How many goals will there be in Cerezo Osaka vs Nagoya Grampus?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Cerezo Osaka vs Nagoya Grampus?

Our predicted score is Cerezo Osaka 1–1 Nagoya Grampus, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.

When is Cerezo Osaka vs Nagoya Grampus?

Cerezo Osaka vs Nagoya Grampus (J1 League) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 07:00 (West Africa Time) at Yodoko Sakura Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.