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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Kyoto Sanga v Sanfrecce Hiroshima: numbers & prediction

J1 League · Japan · Sanga Stadium by Kyocera

Kyoto Sanga

LLLLW
0–4
FT

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

WLWWL
Kyoto Sanga 23%Draw 23%Sanfrecce Hiroshima 53% Expected goals 1.05 – 1.68
77%
Betarazi pick

Sanfrecce Hiroshima or draw

Strong pick · fair odds 1.31 · bookmaker 1.28 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.28Odds

Picks by market

ResultSanfrecce Hiroshima to win ✓53% · @1.95
Double chanceSanfrecce Hiroshima or draw ✓77% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.34

Kyoto Sanga vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Sunday 17 May the J1 League brings Kyoto Sanga against Sanfrecce Hiroshima at Sanga Stadium by Kyocera. Kick-off: 07:00 WAT. In the table, Kyoto Sanga are 8th, in the drop zone, on 23 points after 18 matches; Sanfrecce Hiroshima are 4th (among the top four) with 30.

Current form

Kyoto Sanga, last 5: LLLLW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Vissel Kobe, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.

Sanfrecce Hiroshima, last 5: WLWWL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Gamba Osaka, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Sanfrecce Hiroshima, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.5 for Kyoto Sanga.

Head to head

When they last met (27 Feb 2026) it ended Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1–2 Kyoto Sanga.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Kyoto Sanga 1.0 xG, Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1.7 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 57%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Kyoto Sanga 23%, draw 23%, Sanfrecce Hiroshima 53%.
  • Lower-risk option: Sanfrecce Hiroshima or draw (77%) at 1.28.
  • GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.62.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Sanfrecce Hiroshima or draw (77%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Kyoto Sanga 1–1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Kyoto Sanga23%fair 4.27 · @3.55
Draw23%fair 4.26 · @3.60
Sanfrecce Hiroshima53%fair 1.88 · @1.95
2.73Expected goals
1.05Kyoto Sanga xG
1.68Sanfrecce Hiroshima xG
57%Both score
52%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
0–111%
1–210%
0–29%
1–07%
0–06%

From our goals model: Kyoto Sanga 1.0 – 1.7 Sanfrecce Hiroshima expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSanfrecce Hiroshima to win ✓53%1.881.95
Double chanceSanfrecce Hiroshima or draw ✓77%1.311.28
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗57%1.741.62
Draw no betSanfrecce Hiroshima (draw no bet) ✓69%1.44–
Asian handicapKyoto Sanga +1 (Asian handicap) ✗63%1.59–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76%1.321.25
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓52%1.921.80
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗70%1.441.38
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓84%1.191.14
First team to scoreSanfrecce Hiroshima to score first ✓58%1.74–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗41%2.43–
Half-time / full-timeHT Sanfrecce Hiroshima / FT Sanfrecce Hiroshima ✓32%3.14–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10%10.34–

Recent results

Kyoto Sanga – last 6

LLLLWL
13 May@ Vissel Kobe0–1L
10 May@ Nagoya Grampus0–3L
2 Mayvs Shimizu S-pulse1–2L
18 Apr@ Cerezo Osaka0–3L
11 Aprvs Fagiano Okayama5–1W
4 Apr@ Gamba Osaka0–2L
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Sanfrecce Hiroshima – last 6

WLWWLL
10 May@ Gamba Osaka1–0W
2 May@ Fagiano Okayama0–1L
25 Aprvs Cerezo Osaka2–1W
18 Aprvs V-varen Nagasaki2–0W
5 Aprvs Avispa Fukuoka0–1L
27 Mar@ Vissel Kobe1–2L
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

27 Feb 2026Sanfrecce Hiroshima v Kyoto Sanga1–2
Kyoto Sanga vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima head-to-head page →

J1 League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Vissel Kobe181107+435
2Cerezo Osaka181107+931
3Nagoya Grampus181008+231
4Sanfrecce Hiroshima181008+830
5Gamba Osaka181008+628
6Fagiano Okayama188010-326
7Shimizu S-pulse188010-224
8Kyoto Sanga188010-623
9V-varen Nagasaki187011-821
10Avispa Fukuoka187011-1021

More J1 League predictions

League hub
– V-varen Nagasaki2 Vissel Kobe2 Pens 3–2 118%4.75X26%3.55256%1.73 0.9–1.7xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 73%@1.28 ✗
FT JEF United Chiba0 Kashima2 117%5.00X23%3.60260%1.68 0.9–1.8xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 73%@1.33 ✓
FT Fagiano Okayama2 Shimizu S-pulse0 143%2.40X27%3.10230%3.00 1.5–1.1xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 75%@1.22 ✓
FT Cerezo Osaka6 Nagoya Grampus1 143%2.30X24%3.45233%2.88 1.7–1.3xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 78%@1.25 ✓
– Kawasaki Frontale1 Machida Zelvia1 Pens 5–4 130%3.00X26%3.40244%2.25 1.1–1.5xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 74%@1.28 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Kyoto Sanga vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima?

Our pick is Sanfrecce Hiroshima or draw with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.

Who will win Kyoto Sanga vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima?

On our numbers Kyoto Sanga have a 23% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Sanfrecce Hiroshima 53%.

How many goals will there be in Kyoto Sanga vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Kyoto Sanga vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima?

Our predicted score is Kyoto Sanga 1–1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Kyoto Sanga vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima?

Kyoto Sanga vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima (J1 League) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 07:00 (West Africa Time) at Sanga Stadium by Kyocera.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.