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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

JEF United Chiba v Kashima: numbers & prediction

J1 League · Japan · Fukuda Denshi Arena

JEF United Chiba

LWLLL
0–2
FT

Kashima

WLWWW
JEF United Chiba 17%Draw 23%Kashima 60% Expected goals 0.92 – 1.82
73%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.36 · bookmaker 1.33 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.33Odds

Picks by market

ResultKashima to win ✓60% · @1.68
Double chanceKashima or draw ✓83% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.85
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.17

JEF United Chiba vs Kashima: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

JEF United Chiba welcome Kashima to Fukuda Denshi Arena for a J1 League fixture on Sunday 17 May (06:00 WAT). In the table, JEF United Chiba are 10th, in the drop zone, on 12 points after 18 matches; Kashima are 1st (leading the league) with 45. There are 33 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

JEF United Chiba, last 5: LWLLL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Machida Zelvia, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Kashima, last 5: WLWWW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Mito Hollyhock, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Kashima, collecting 2.5 points per game to 0.5 for JEF United Chiba.

Head to head

When they last met (22 Mar 2026) it ended Kashima 2–1 JEF United Chiba.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give JEF United Chiba 0.9 xG, Kashima 1.8 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 57%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – JEF United Chiba 17%, draw 23%, Kashima 60%.
  • Lower-risk option: Kashima or draw (83%) at 1.17.
  • GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.85.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (73%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: JEF United Chiba 1–1 Kashima. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

JEF United Chiba17%fair 5.82 · @5.00
Draw23%fair 4.31 · @3.60
Kashima60%fair 1.68 · @1.68
2.74Expected goals
0.92JEF United Chiba xG
1.82Kashima xG
57%Both score
49%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–112%
1–111%
0–211%
1–210%
0–06%
0–36%

From our goals model: JEF United Chiba 0.9 – 1.8 Kashima expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultKashima to win ✓60%1.681.68
Double chanceKashima or draw ✓83%1.211.17
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗57%1.771.85
Draw no betKashima (draw no bet) ✓78%1.29–
Asian handicapJEF United Chiba +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✗66%1.51–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73%1.361.33
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓51%1.981.80
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓72%1.391.28
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓86%1.161.09
First team to scoreKashima to score first ✓62%1.61–
Half-time resultKashima ahead at half-time ✓42%2.38–
Half-time / full-timeHT Kashima / FT Kashima ✓36%2.74–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10%10.17–

Recent results

JEF United Chiba – last 6

LWLLLL
10 Mayvs Machida Zelvia0–2L
6 May@ FC Tokyo3–0W
2 May@ Urawa0–2L
29 Aprvs Yokohama F. Marinos2–3L
25 Apr@ Kawasaki Frontale1–2L
18 Apr@ Tokyo Verdy0–1L
1.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Kashima – last 6

WLWWWW
6 Mayvs Mito Hollyhock3–0W
29 Apr@ Tokyo Verdy1–2L
24 Apr@ Kashiwa Reysol1–0W
18 Aprvs Urawa1–0W
12 Apr@ Kawasaki Frontale2–0W
22 Marvs JEF United Chiba2–1W
1.7Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

22 Mar 2026Kashima v JEF United Chiba2–1
JEF United Chiba vs Kashima head-to-head page →

J1 League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Kashima181503+2045
2FC Tokyo181305+1437
3Machida Zelvia181305+637
4Kawasaki Frontale181008-228
5Tokyo Verdy181008-428
6Urawa187011+325
7Yokohama F. Marinos186012-320
8Kashiwa Reysol187011-220
9Mito Hollyhock186012-1618
10JEF United Chiba183015-1612

More J1 League predictions

League hub
– V-varen Nagasaki2 Vissel Kobe2 Pens 3–2 118%4.75X26%3.55256%1.73 0.9–1.7xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 73%@1.28 ✗
FT Fagiano Okayama2 Shimizu S-pulse0 143%2.40X27%3.10230%3.00 1.5–1.1xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 75%@1.22 ✓
FT Cerezo Osaka6 Nagoya Grampus1 143%2.30X24%3.45233%2.88 1.7–1.3xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 78%@1.25 ✓
FT Kyoto Sanga0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima4 123%3.55X23%3.60253%1.95 1.0–1.7xG X2Sanfrecce Hiroshima or draw 77%@1.28 ✓
– Kawasaki Frontale1 Machida Zelvia1 Pens 5–4 130%3.00X26%3.40244%2.25 1.1–1.5xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 74%@1.28 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for JEF United Chiba vs Kashima?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.

Who will win JEF United Chiba vs Kashima?

On our numbers JEF United Chiba have a 17% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Kashima 60%.

How many goals will there be in JEF United Chiba vs Kashima?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for JEF United Chiba vs Kashima?

Our predicted score is JEF United Chiba 1–1 Kashima, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is JEF United Chiba vs Kashima?

JEF United Chiba vs Kashima (J1 League) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time) at Fukuda Denshi Arena.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.