Fortaleza FC 30%Draw 26%Bucaramanga 44%Expected goals 1.03 – 1.45
78%
Betarazi pick
Under 3.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.29 · bookmaker 1.20
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.00 – our chance 56% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultBucaramanga to win44% · @2.42
Double chanceEither team to win74% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score56% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals78% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–29% · fair 11.05
Fortaleza FC vs Bucaramanga: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Fortaleza FC welcome Bucaramanga to Estadio Municipal de Cota for a Primera A fixture on Sunday 3 May (21:30 WAT). In the table, Fortaleza FC are 20th, in the drop zone, on 12 points after 18 matches; Bucaramanga are 4th (among the top four) with 32. There are 20 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Fortaleza FC, last 5: LLWDD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Independiente Medellin, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Bucaramanga, last 5: LWLLL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Atletico Nacional, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 4 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Fortaleza FC 1.0 xG, Bucaramanga 1.4 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 42%, GG 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Fortaleza FC 30%, draw 26%, Bucaramanga 44%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 2.00.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.00 – the bookmaker implies 50%, our ratings say 56%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (78%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Fortaleza FC 1–1 Bucaramanga. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Fortaleza FC30%fair 3.38 · @3.00
Draw26%fair 3.79 · @3.10
Bucaramanga44%fair 2.27 · @2.42
2.47Expected goals
1.03Fortaleza FC xG
1.45Bucaramanga xG
56%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–112%
1–29%
0–29%
1–09%
0–08%
From our goals model: Fortaleza FC 1.0 – 1.4 Bucaramanga expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Fortaleza FC
Bucaramanga
Attack vs Primera A average
-19%
+27%
Goals conceded vs average
+21%
-16%
Our expected goals here
1.00
1.62
Our own ratings from every Primera A result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Bucaramanga to win
44%
2.27
2.42 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win
74%
1.36
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
56%
1.78
2.00 ▲
Draw no bet
Bucaramanga (draw no bet)
60%
1.67
–
Asian handicap
Fortaleza FC +1 (Asian handicap)
70%
1.43
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
68%
1.47
1.45
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
58%
1.73
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
78%
1.29
1.20
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
90%
1.12
1.05
First team to score
Bucaramanga to score first
53%
1.87
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Bucaramanga / FT Bucaramanga
28%
3.62
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2
9%
11.05
–
Recent results
Fortaleza FC – last 6
LLWDDL
26 Apr
@ Independiente Medellin
0–1
L
23 Apr
vs America de Cali
1–2
L
19 Apr
vs Águilas Doradas
2–0
W
4 Apr
vs Internacional de Bogota
1–1
D
31 Mar
@ Millonarios
2–2
D
25 Mar
vs Deportivo Pasto
1–2
L
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Bucaramanga – last 6
LWLLLL
21 Apr
@ Atletico Nacional
0–2
L
13 Apr
vs Chico
5–0
W
7 Apr
@ Águilas Doradas
1–2
L
2 Apr
@ America de Cali
0–2
L
28 Mar
vs Santa Fe
1–2
L
25 Mar
@ Junior
0–2
L
1.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Fortaleza FC and Bucaramanga.
What is the prediction for Fortaleza FC vs Bucaramanga?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Fortaleza FC vs Bucaramanga?
On our numbers Fortaleza FC have a 30% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Bucaramanga 44%.
How many goals will there be in Fortaleza FC vs Bucaramanga?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Fortaleza FC vs Bucaramanga?
Our predicted score is Fortaleza FC 1–1 Bucaramanga, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Fortaleza FC vs Bucaramanga?
Fortaleza FC vs Bucaramanga (Primera A) kicks off on Sunday 3 May 2026 at 21:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal de Cota.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
