Santa Fe 59%Draw 24%Internacional de Bogota 17%Expected goals 1.85 – 0.86
83%
Betarazi pick
Santa Fe or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.20 · bookmaker 1.20
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Santa Fe to win @ 1.86 – our chance 59% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultSanta Fe to win59% · @1.86
Double chanceSanta Fe or draw83% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score56% · @1.93
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals73% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–110% · fair 10.21
Santa Fe vs Internacional de Bogota: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 3 May the Primera A brings Santa Fe against Internacional de Bogota. Kick-off: 21:30 WAT. In the table, Santa Fe are 5th, upper half, on 31 points after 18 matches; Internacional de Bogota are 13th (lower half) with 20.
Current form
Santa Fe, last 5: LWLDD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Platense, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Internacional de Bogota, last 5: WLWDL Their latest outing: 4–0 win over Chico, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Santa Fe 1.9 xG, Internacional de Bogota 0.9 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 56%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Santa Fe 59%, draw 24%, Internacional de Bogota 17%.
Lower-risk option: Santa Fe or draw (83%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.93.
Price worth noting: Santa Fe to win @1.86 – the bookmaker implies 54%, our ratings say 59%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Santa Fe or draw (83%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Santa Fe 1–0 Internacional de Bogota. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Santa Fe59%fair 1.69 · @1.86
Draw24%fair 4.10 · @3.35
Internacional de Bogota17%fair 6.05 · @4.30
2.71Expected goals
1.85Santa Fe xG
0.86Internacional de Bogota xG
56%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–012%
2–011%
1–111%
2–110%
3–07%
0–07%
From our goals model: Santa Fe 1.9 – 0.9 Internacional de Bogota expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Santa Fe
Internacional de Bogota
Attack vs Primera A average
+19%
+3%
Goals conceded vs average
-17%
+16%
Our expected goals here
2.04
0.91
Our own ratings from every Primera A result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Santa Fe to win
59%
1.69
1.86 ▲
Double chance
Santa Fe or draw
83%
1.20
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
56%
1.80
1.93 ▲
Draw no bet
Santa Fe (draw no bet)
78%
1.28
–
Asian handicap
Santa Fe -0.5 (Asian handicap)
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
72%
1.39
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
52%
1.92
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
73%
1.36
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
87%
1.15
1.07
First team to score
Santa Fe to score first
64%
1.57
–
Half-time result
Santa Fe ahead at half-time
44%
2.30
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Santa Fe / FT Santa Fe
38%
2.61
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1
10%
10.21
–
Recent results
Santa Fe – last 6
LWLDDL
29 Apr
@ Platense
1–2
L
24 Apr
@ Deportivo Pasto
2–1
W
16 Apr
@ Corinthians
0–2
L
10 Apr
vs Penarol
1–1
D
5 Apr
@ Deportes Tolima
2–2
D
2 Apr
vs Llaneros
0–1
L
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Internacional de Bogota – last 6
WLWDLD
27 Apr
vs Chico
4–0
W
21 Apr
@ Once Caldas
1–2
L
13 Apr
vs Alianza Valledupar
2–1
W
4 Apr
@ Fortaleza FC
1–1
D
22 Mar
@ Atletico Nacional
0–3
L
19 Mar
vs Deportivo Pereira
2–2
D
1.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Santa Fe and Internacional de Bogota.
What is the prediction for Santa Fe vs Internacional de Bogota?
Our pick is Santa Fe or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Santa Fe vs Internacional de Bogota?
On our numbers Santa Fe have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Internacional de Bogota 17%.
How many goals will there be in Santa Fe vs Internacional de Bogota?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Santa Fe vs Internacional de Bogota?
Our predicted score is Santa Fe 1–0 Internacional de Bogota, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Santa Fe vs Internacional de Bogota?
Santa Fe vs Internacional de Bogota (Primera A) kicks off on Sunday 3 May 2026 at 21:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
