Value bet: Draw @ 3.25 – our chance 36% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultColombia to win ✗39% · @2.26
Double chanceColombia or draw ✗75% · @1.35
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.02
Colombia vs Croatia: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Colombia welcome Croatia to Camping World Stadium for a Friendlies fixture on Friday 27 March (00:30 WAT).
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Colombia 1.5 xG, Croatia 1.1 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 55%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Colombia 39%, draw 36%, Croatia 25%.
Lower-risk option: Colombia or draw (75%) at 1.35.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.75.
Price worth noting: Draw @3.25 – the bookmaker implies 31%, our ratings say 36%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Colombia or draw (75%, odds 1.35). Most likely score in line with that pick: Colombia 1–1 Croatia. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Colombia39%fair 2.59 · @2.26
Draw36%fair 2.75 · @3.25
Croatia25%fair 3.98 · @3.10
2.56Expected goals
1.46Colombia xG
1.10Croatia xG
55%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–011%
2–19%
0–18%
2–08%
0–08%
From our goals model: Colombia 1.5 – 1.1 Croatia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Colombia
Croatia
Attack vs Friendlies average
-13%
-3%
Goals conceded vs average
-13%
+2%
Our expected goals here
1.52
1.03
Our own ratings from every Friendlies result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Colombia to win✗
39%
2.59
2.26
Double chance
Colombia or draw✗
75%
1.34
1.35
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.80
1.75
Draw no bet
Colombia (draw no bet)✗
61%
1.65
–
Asian handicap
Croatia +1 (Asian handicap)✓
71%
1.41
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.89
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.28
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.14
1.09
First team to score
Colombia to score first
53%
1.90
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.31
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Colombia / FT Colombia✗
27%
3.71
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.02
–
Recent results
Colombia
No recent results on record.
Croatia
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Colombia and Croatia.
Our pick is Colombia or draw with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.
Who will win Colombia vs Croatia?
On our numbers Colombia have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 36% and Croatia 25%.
How many goals will there be in Colombia vs Croatia?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Colombia vs Croatia?
Our predicted score is Colombia 1–1 Croatia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Colombia vs Croatia?
Colombia vs Croatia (Friendlies) kicks off on Friday 27 March 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Camping World Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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