Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · @1.24
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗11% · fair 9.46
Russia vs Nicaragua: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Friday 27 March the Friendlies brings Russia against Nicaragua at Ozon Arena. Kick-off: 17:30 WAT.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Russia 3.3 xG, Nicaragua 0.7 xG – a total near 4.0. That is an open game on paper: 75% for three or more goals, 49% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Russia 85%, draw 11%, Nicaragua 4%.
GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.24.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (75%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Russia 3–0 Nicaragua. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Russia85%fair 1.18 · @1.03
Draw11%fair 9.37 · @14.00
Nicaragua4%fair 23.23 · @35.00
4.02Expected goals
3.28Russia xG
0.74Nicaragua xG
49%Both score
75%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
3–011%
2–010%
4–09%
3–18%
2–17%
4–16%
From our goals model: Russia 3.3 – 0.7 Nicaragua expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Russia
Nicaragua
Attack vs Friendlies average
+33%
-10%
Goals conceded vs average
-18%
+6%
Our expected goals here
3.43
0.79
Our own ratings from every Friendlies result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Russia to win✓
85%
1.18
1.03
Double chance
Russia or draw✓
96%
1.04
–
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
51%
1.96
1.24
Draw no bet
Russia (draw no bet)✓
95%
1.05
–
Asian handicap
Russia -2 (Asian handicap)
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
89%
1.13
1.04
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
1.25
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
56%
1.79
1.73
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
63%
1.59
1.44
First team to score
Russia to score first
80%
1.25
–
Half-time result
Russia ahead at half-time✓
66%
1.52
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Russia / FT Russia✓
63%
1.59
–
Correct score
Correct score 3–0✗
11%
9.46
–
Recent results
Russia
No recent results on record.
Nicaragua
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Russia and Nicaragua.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Russia vs Nicaragua?
On our numbers Russia have a 85% chance of winning, the draw 11% and Nicaragua 4%.
How many goals will there be in Russia vs Nicaragua?
We expect about 4.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 75% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Russia vs Nicaragua?
Our predicted score is Russia 3–0 Nicaragua, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.0 goals in total.
When is Russia vs Nicaragua?
Russia vs Nicaragua (Friendlies) kicks off on Friday 27 March 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Ozon Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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