Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.00 – our chance 56% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultIran to win ✗40% · @2.45
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.41
Iran vs Nigeria: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
13:30 WAT, Friday 27 March: Iran v Nigeria in the Friendlies, played at Corendon Airlines Park.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Iran 1.5 xG, Nigeria 1.4 xG – a total near 2.9. That is an open game on paper: 47% for three or more goals, 56% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Iran 40%, draw 26%, Nigeria 34%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 2.00.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.00 – the bookmaker implies 50%, our ratings say 56%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (71%, odds 1.45 – longer than our fair 1.40, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Iran 1–1 Nigeria. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Iran40%fair 2.50 · @2.45
Draw26%fair 3.88 · @3.00
Nigeria34%fair 2.91 · @2.85
2.91Expected goals
1.52Iran xG
1.38Nigeria xG
56%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
2–19%
1–08%
1–28%
0–18%
2–06%
From our goals model: Iran 1.5 – 1.4 Nigeria expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Iran
Nigeria
Attack vs Friendlies average
+0%
+29%
Goals conceded vs average
+3%
+5%
Our expected goals here
1.81
1.62
Our own ratings from every Friendlies result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Iran to win✗
40%
2.50
2.45
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.35
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.80
2.00 ▲
Draw no bet
Iran (draw no bet)✗
54%
1.86
–
Asian handicap
Nigeria +1 (Asian handicap)✓
75%
1.34
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
1.45
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.88
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
1.17
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
–
First team to score
Iran to score first✗
50%
2.02
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
40%
2.47
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Iran / FT Iran✗
24%
4.16
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.41
–
Recent results
Iran
No recent results on record.
Nigeria
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Iran and Nigeria.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.
Who will win Iran vs Nigeria?
On our numbers Iran have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Nigeria 34%.
How many goals will there be in Iran vs Nigeria?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Iran vs Nigeria?
Our predicted score is Iran 1–1 Nigeria, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Iran vs Nigeria?
Iran vs Nigeria (Friendlies) kicks off on Friday 27 March 2026 at 13:30 (West Africa Time) at Corendon Airlines Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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