Value bet: Italy U20 to win @ 2.50 – our chance 44% vs 40% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultItaly U20 to win ✗44% · @2.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.70
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗74% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.33
Italy U20 vs England U20: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
15:30 WAT, Friday 27 March: Italy U20 v England U20 in the Friendlies, played at Riano Athletic Center.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Italy U20 1.4 xG, England U20 1.2 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Italy U20 44%, draw 23%, England U20 33%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.70.
Price worth noting: Italy U20 to win @2.50 – the bookmaker implies 40%, our ratings say 44%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (74%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Italy U20 1–1 England U20. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Italy U2044%fair 2.25 · @2.50
Draw23%fair 4.40 · @3.20
England U2033%fair 3.05 · @2.60
2.58Expected goals
1.41Italy U20 xG
1.16England U20 xG
56%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–011%
0–19%
2–19%
0–08%
2–08%
From our goals model: Italy U20 1.4 – 1.2 England U20 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Italy U20 to win✗
44%
2.25
2.50 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
77%
1.29
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.78
1.70
Draw no bet
Italy U20 (draw no bet)
58%
1.74
–
Asian handicap
England U20 +1 (Asian handicap)✓
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.91
1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
74%
1.36
1.28
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
88%
1.14
–
First team to score
Italy U20 to score first✗
51%
1.97
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.31
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Italy U20 / FT Italy U20✗
25%
4.00
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.33
–
Recent results
Italy U20
No recent results on record.
England U20
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Italy U20 and England U20.
What is the prediction for Italy U20 vs England U20?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Italy U20 vs England U20?
On our numbers Italy U20 have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 23% and England U20 33%.
How many goals will there be in Italy U20 vs England U20?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Italy U20 vs England U20?
Our predicted score is Italy U20 1–1 England U20, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Italy U20 vs England U20?
Italy U20 vs England U20 (Friendlies) kicks off on Friday 27 March 2026 at 15:30 (West Africa Time) at Riano Athletic Center.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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