Value bet: Draw @ 3.10 – our chance 36% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultSouth Africa to win ✗41% · @2.16
Double chanceSouth Africa or draw ✓77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.64
South Africa vs Panama: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Friday 27 March the Friendlies brings South Africa against Panama at Moses Mabhida Stadium. Kick-off: 18:00 WAT.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give South Africa 1.3 xG, Panama 0.9 xG – a total near 2.2. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 41%, GG 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – South Africa 41%, draw 36%, Panama 23%.
Lower-risk option: South Africa or draw (77%) at 1.30.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.85.
Price worth noting: Draw @3.10 – the bookmaker implies 32%, our ratings say 36%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was South Africa or draw (77%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: South Africa 1–0 Panama. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
South Africa41%fair 2.45 · @2.16
Draw36%fair 2.75 · @3.10
Panama23%fair 4.37 · @3.30
2.24Expected goals
1.34South Africa xG
0.91Panama xG
56%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
1–113%
0–011%
0–110%
2–09%
2–19%
From our goals model: South Africa 1.3 – 0.9 Panama expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
South Africa
Panama
Attack vs Friendlies average
-13%
+5%
Goals conceded vs average
-20%
+12%
Our expected goals here
1.67
1.04
Our own ratings from every Friendlies result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
South Africa to win✗
41%
2.45
2.16
Double chance
South Africa or draw✓
77%
1.30
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.78
1.85
Draw no bet
South Africa (draw no bet)
64%
1.56
–
Asian handicap
Panama +1 (Asian handicap)✓
71%
1.41
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
66%
1.51
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.69
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
92%
1.08
–
First team to score
South Africa to score first✗
53%
1.88
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
47%
2.15
–
Half-time / full-time
HT South Africa / FT South Africa✗
27%
3.68
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.64
–
Recent results
South Africa
No recent results on record.
Panama
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between South Africa and Panama.
What is the prediction for South Africa vs Panama?
Our pick is South Africa or draw with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win South Africa vs Panama?
On our numbers South Africa have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 36% and Panama 23%.
How many goals will there be in South Africa vs Panama?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for South Africa vs Panama?
Our predicted score is South Africa 1–0 Panama, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is South Africa vs Panama?
South Africa vs Panama (Friendlies) kicks off on Friday 27 March 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Moses Mabhida Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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