San Marino vs Albania: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Tuesday 29 September the UEFA Nations League brings San Marino against Albania at San Marino Stadium. Kick-off: 19:45 WAT. In the table, San Marino are 4th on 0 points after 4 matches; Albania are 1st with 9.
Current form
San Marino, last 4: LLLD Their latest outing: 0–7 defeat to Finland, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Albania, last 5: WLLLL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Belarus, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.6 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give San Marino 1.1 xG, Albania 3.4 xG – a total near 4.5. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 83% and GG at 52%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – San Marino 8%, draw 12%, Albania 81%.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 4.33.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (52%, odds 4.33 – longer than our fair 1.93, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: San Marino 1–3 Albania. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
San Marino8%fair 13.08 · @41.00
Draw12%fair 8.58 · @15.00
Albania81%fair 1.24 · @1.04
4.50Expected goals
1.08San Marino xG
3.42Albania xG
52%Both score
83%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–38%
0–37%
1–27%
1–47%
0–26%
0–46%
From our goals model: San Marino 1.1 – 3.4 Albania expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Albania to win✓
81%
1.24
1.04
Double chance
Albania or draw✓
92%
1.08
–
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.93
4.33 ▲
Draw no bet
Albania (draw no bet)✓
91%
1.09
–
Asian handicap
Albania -1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
64%
1.56
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
94%
1.07
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
53%
1.88
–
First team to score
Albania to score first✓
75%
1.33
–
Half-time result
Albania ahead at half-time✓
63%
1.60
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Albania / FT Albania✓
59%
1.70
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–3✗
8%
12.50
–
Recent results
San Marino – last 4
LLLD
26 Sep
vs Finland
0–7
L
9 Jun
@ Azerbaijan
1–2
L
5 Jun
vs Bangladesh
1–2
L
31 Mar
vs Andorra
0–0
D
0.5Scored / game
2.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Albania – last 5
WLLLL
26 Sep
vs Belarus
2–0
W
6 Jun
vs Luxembourg
0–1
L
3 Jun
vs Israel
0–1
L
31 Mar
@ Ukraine
0–1
L
26 Mar
@ Poland
1–2
L
0.6Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
20%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between San Marino and Albania.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 52% chance, at bookmaker odds of 4.33.
Who will win San Marino vs Albania?
On our numbers San Marino have a 8% chance of winning, the draw 12% and Albania 81%.
How many goals will there be in San Marino vs Albania?
We expect about 4.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 83% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for San Marino vs Albania?
Our predicted score is San Marino 1–3 Albania, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.5 goals in total.
When is San Marino vs Albania?
San Marino vs Albania (UEFA Nations League) kicks off on Tuesday 29 September 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at San Marino Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Moldova1
Faroe Islands1
Spain4
Croatia1
Czechia0
England2
Slovakia2
Kazakhstan1
Bulgaria0
Estonia0
Luxembourg0
Iceland3
Scotland0
Switzerland3