Moldova vs Faroe Islands: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Moldova welcome Faroe Islands to Zimbru for a UEFA Nations League fixture on Tuesday 29 September (17:00 WAT). In the table, Moldova are 3rd on 4 points after 4 matches; Faroe Islands are 2nd with 4. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Moldova, last 5: LDDLL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Slovakia, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Faroe Islands, last 3: DWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Kazakhstan, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Momentum favours Faroe Islands, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.4 for Moldova.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Moldova 1.0 xG, Faroe Islands 1.0 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 68%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Moldova 36%, draw 25%, Faroe Islands 40%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 2.05.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (53%, odds 2.05 – longer than our fair 1.87, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Moldova 1–1 Faroe Islands. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Moldova36%fair 2.82 · @2.70
Draw25%fair 4.05 · @2.88
Faroe Islands40%fair 2.51 · @2.62
2.00Expected goals
0.96Moldova xG
1.04Faroe Islands xG
53%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–114%
0–014%
1–114%
1–013%
0–27%
1–27%
From our goals model: Moldova 1.0 – 1.0 Faroe Islands expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Faroe Islands to win✗
40%
2.51
2.62
Double chance
Either team to win✗
75%
1.33
1.36
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.87
2.05 ▲
Draw no bet
Faroe Islands (draw no bet)
53%
1.89
–
Asian handicap
Moldova +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.58
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
59%
1.68
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
95%
1.06
–
First team to score
Faroe Islands to score first✓
45%
2.22
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
50%
2.00
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
22%
4.59
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
7%
14.22
–
Recent results
Moldova – last 5
LDDLL
26 Sep
@ Slovakia
0–2
L
9 Jun
@ Armenia
1–1
D
5 Jun
vs Bulgaria
2–2
D
30 Mar
@ Cyprus
2–3
L
26 Mar
vs Lithuania
0–2
L
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
60%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Faroe Islands – last 3
DWL
26 Sep
vs Kazakhstan
1–1
D
9 Jun
@ Latvia
1–0
W
6 Jun
@ Estonia
0–1
L
0.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Moldova and Faroe Islands.
What is the prediction for Moldova vs Faroe Islands?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.05.
Who will win Moldova vs Faroe Islands?
On our numbers Moldova have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Faroe Islands 40%.
How many goals will there be in Moldova vs Faroe Islands?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Moldova vs Faroe Islands?
Our predicted score is Moldova 1–1 Faroe Islands, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Moldova vs Faroe Islands?
Moldova vs Faroe Islands (UEFA Nations League) kicks off on Tuesday 29 September 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Zimbru.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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