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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Rep. Of Ireland v Israel: numbers & prediction

UEFA Nations League · Europe · Gradski Stadion

Rep. Of Ireland

DWLDW
1–1
FT

Israel

DLLWD
Rep. Of Ireland 53%Draw 23%Israel 25% Expected goals 1.55 – 0.95
53%
Betarazi pick

Rep. Of Ireland to win

Fair pick · fair odds 1.89 · bookmaker 2.00 · Lost ✗

4/10Rating
2.00Odds

Picks by market

ResultRep. Of Ireland to win ✗53% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.33
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗53% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.86

Rep. Of Ireland vs Israel: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Israel travel to face Rep. Of Ireland on Sunday 4 October in the UEFA Nations League, with Gradski Stadion the venue – the ball rolls at 19:45 WAT. In the table, Rep. Of Ireland are 3rd on 5 points after 4 matches; Israel are 4th with 2. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Rep. Of Ireland, last 5: DWLDW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Austria, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Israel, last 5: DLLWD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Kosovo, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Rep. Of Ireland, collecting 1.5 points per game to 1.0 for Israel.

Head to head

When they last met (27 Sep 2026) it ended Israel 0–3 Rep. Of Ireland.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Rep. Of Ireland 1.6 xG, Israel 0.9 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 47%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Rep. Of Ireland 53%, draw 23%, Israel 25%.
  • GG/NG: NG (53%) at 1.85.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Rep. Of Ireland to win (53%, odds 2.00 – longer than our fair 1.89, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Rep. Of Ireland 1–0 Israel. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Rep. Of Ireland53%fair 1.89 · @2.00
Draw23%fair 4.42 · @3.20
Israel25%fair 4.06 · @3.40
2.50Expected goals
1.55Rep. Of Ireland xG
0.95Israel xG
47%Both score
46%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–013%
1–112%
2–010%
2–19%
0–08%
0–18%

From our goals model: Rep. Of Ireland 1.6 – 0.9 Israel expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultRep. Of Ireland to win ✗53%1.892.00 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77%1.291.33
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗53%1.891.85
Draw no betRep. Of Ireland (draw no bet)68%1.47–
Asian handicapIsrael +1 (Asian handicap) ✓65%1.55–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓71%1.40–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓54%1.84–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76%1.32–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓89%1.12–
First team to scoreRep. Of Ireland to score first ✓57%1.76–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗43%2.30–
Half-time / full-timeHT Rep. Of Ireland / FT Rep. Of Ireland ✗31%3.24–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13%7.86–

Recent results

Rep. Of Ireland – last 6

DWLDWD
1 Octvs Austria2–2D
27 Sep@ Israel3–0W
24 Sep@ Kosovo0–1L
6 Jun@ Canada1–1D
28 Mayvs Qatar1–0W
31 Marvs FYR Macedonia0–0D
1.2Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Israel – last 5

DLLWD
1 Octvs Kosovo0–0D
27 Sepvs Rep. Of Ireland0–3L
24 Sep@ Austria1–3L
3 Jun@ Albania1–0W
26 Mar@ Georgia2–2D
0.8Scored / game
1.6Conceded / game
40%Both scored
60%Over 2.5

Head to head

27 Sep 2026Israel v Rep. Of Ireland0–3
Rep. Of Ireland vs Israel head-to-head page →

UEFA Nations League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Austria4220+48
2Kosovo4121-15
3Rep. Of Ireland4121+25
4Israel4022-52

More UEFA Nations League predictions

League hub
FT Azerbaijan1 Lithuania0 139%2.30X25%2.90237%3.10 0.8–0.7xG NGNot both teams to score 54%@1.62 ✓
FT Kosovo1 Austria1 129%3.20X22%3.30249%2.05 1.2–1.6xG GGBoth teams to score 61%@1.67 ✓
FT Malta1 Andorra0 159%1.67X22%3.20219%5.50 1.4–0.6xG 1Malta to win 59%@1.67 ✓
FT Greece0 Germany0 116%3.70X23%3.60260%1.75 0.6–1.5xG X2Germany or draw 84%@1.25 ✓
FT Netherlands2 Serbia1 177%1.15X14%7.0029%13.00 2.3–0.6xG GGBoth teams to score 52%@2.00 ✓
FT Portugal2 Norway1 166%1.57X21%4.20213%4.40 2.4–1.1xG 1XPortugal or draw 87%@1.20 ✓
FT Wales0 Denmark1 116%3.60X26%3.40258%1.91 1.1–2.1xG X2Denmark or draw 84%@1.25 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Rep. Of Ireland vs Israel?

Our pick is Rep. Of Ireland to win with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.00.

Who will win Rep. Of Ireland vs Israel?

On our numbers Rep. Of Ireland have a 53% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Israel 25%.

How many goals will there be in Rep. Of Ireland vs Israel?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Rep. Of Ireland vs Israel?

Our predicted score is Rep. Of Ireland 1–0 Israel, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Rep. Of Ireland vs Israel?

Rep. Of Ireland vs Israel (UEFA Nations League) kicks off on Sunday 4 October 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Gradski Stadion.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.