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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Malta v Andorra: numbers & prediction

UEFA Nations League · Europe · Ta'Qali National Stadium

Malta

DWWWL
1–0
FT

Andorra

LDLLW
Malta 59%Draw 22%Andorra 19% Expected goals 1.39 – 0.61
59%
Betarazi pick

Malta to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.70 · bookmaker 1.67 · Won ✓

5/10Rating
1.67Odds

Picks by market

ResultMalta to win ✓59% · @1.67
Double chanceMalta or draw ✓81% · @1.12
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · @1.55
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓68% · fair 1.48
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓19% · fair 5.31

Malta vs Andorra: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

17:00 WAT, Sunday 4 October: Malta v Andorra in the UEFA Nations League, played at Ta'Qali National Stadium. In the table, Malta are 1st on 7 points after 3 matches; Andorra are 3rd with 1.

Current form

Malta, last 5: DWWWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Gibraltar, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Andorra, last 5: LDLLW Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Lithuania, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.

Momentum favours Malta, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.7 for Andorra.

Head to head

When they last met (24 Sep 2026) it ended Andorra 1–2 Malta.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Malta 1.4 xG, Andorra 0.6 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 68%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Malta 59%, draw 22%, Andorra 19%.
  • GG/NG: NG (53%) at 1.55.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Malta to win (59%, odds 1.67). Most likely score in line with that pick: Malta 1–0 Andorra. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Malta59%fair 1.70 · @1.67
Draw22%fair 4.50 · @3.20
Andorra19%fair 5.25 · @5.50
2.00Expected goals
1.39Malta xG
0.61Andorra xG
47%Both score
32%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–019%
0–014%
2–013%
1–111%
0–18%
2–18%

From our goals model: Malta 1.4 – 0.6 Andorra expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultMalta to win ✓59%1.701.67
Double chanceMalta or draw ✓81%1.241.12
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓53%1.891.55
Draw no betMalta (draw no bet) ✓76%1.32–
Asian handicapAndorra +1 (Asian handicap)61%1.64–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗59%1.68–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓68%1.48–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓86%1.17–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓95%1.06–
First team to scoreMalta to score first ✓60%1.66–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓49%2.06–
Half-time / full-timeHT Malta / FT Malta ✗33%3.00–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓19%5.31–

Recent results

Malta – last 6

DWWWLL
1 Octvs Gibraltar1–1D
27 Sepvs Liechtenstein2–0W
24 Sep@ Andorra2–1W
5 Jun@ Azerbaijan2–0W
1 Jun@ Slovakia1–2L
31 Mar@ Luxembourg0–3L
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Andorra – last 6

LDLLWL
30 Sep@ Lithuania0–3L
27 Sep@ Gibraltar0–0D
24 Sepvs Malta1–2L
7 Jun@ Kosovo0–3L
4 Junvs Liechtenstein2–0W
29 May@ Iraq0–1L
0.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

24 Sep 2026Andorra v Malta1–2
Malta vs Andorra head-to-head page →

UEFA Nations League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Malta3210+27
2Gibraltar202002
3Andorra3012-21

More UEFA Nations League predictions

League hub
FT Azerbaijan1 Lithuania0 139%2.30X25%2.90237%3.10 0.8–0.7xG NGNot both teams to score 54%@1.62 ✓
FT Kosovo1 Austria1 129%3.20X22%3.30249%2.05 1.2–1.6xG GGBoth teams to score 61%@1.67 ✓
FT Greece0 Germany0 116%3.70X23%3.60260%1.75 0.6–1.5xG X2Germany or draw 84%@1.25 ✓
FT Netherlands2 Serbia1 177%1.15X14%7.0029%13.00 2.3–0.6xG GGBoth teams to score 52%@2.00 ✓
FT Portugal2 Norway1 166%1.57X21%4.20213%4.40 2.4–1.1xG 1XPortugal or draw 87%@1.20 ✓
FT Wales0 Denmark1 116%3.60X26%3.40258%1.91 1.1–2.1xG X2Denmark or draw 84%@1.25 ✓
FT Rep. Of Ireland1 Israel1 153%2.00X23%3.20225%3.40 1.6–0.9xG 1Rep. Of Ireland to win 53%@2.00 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Malta vs Andorra?

Our pick is Malta to win with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.

Who will win Malta vs Andorra?

On our numbers Malta have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Andorra 19%.

How many goals will there be in Malta vs Andorra?

We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Malta vs Andorra?

Our predicted score is Malta 1–0 Andorra, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.

When is Malta vs Andorra?

Malta vs Andorra (UEFA Nations League) kicks off on Sunday 4 October 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Ta'Qali National Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.