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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Kosovo v Israel: numbers & prediction

UEFA Nations League · Europe

Kosovo

DDLWW
Sat 14 Nov 2026

Israel

DDLLW
Kosovo 52%Draw 28%Israel 21% Expected goals 1.35 – 0.82
77%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.30 · bookmaker 1.33

8/10Rating
1.33Odds
U2.5

Value bet: Under 2.5 goals @ 1.90 – our chance 57% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk.

Picks by market

ResultKosovo to win52% · @1.85
Double chanceKosovo or draw79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score52% · @1.73
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals77% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19% · fair 11.72

Kosovo vs Israel: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

15:00 WAT, Saturday 14 November: Kosovo v Israel in the UEFA Nations League. In the table, Kosovo are 2nd on 5 points after 4 matches; Israel are 4th with 2. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Kosovo, last 5: DDLWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Austria, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Israel, last 5: DDLLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Rep. Of Ireland, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Head to head

When they last met (1 Oct 2026) it ended Israel 0–0 Kosovo.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Kosovo 1.3 xG, Israel 0.8 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 57%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Kosovo 52%, draw 28%, Israel 21%.
  • Lower-risk option: Kosovo or draw (79%) at 1.22.
  • GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.73.
  • Price worth noting: Under 2.5 goals @1.90 – the bookmaker implies 53%, our ratings say 57%.

Betarazi verdict

The Betarazi pick is Under 3.5 goals (77%, odds 1.33 – longer than our fair 1.30, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Kosovo 1–0 Israel. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Kosovo52%fair 1.94 · @1.85
Draw28%fair 3.61 · @3.40
Israel21%fair 4.85 · @4.20
2.17Expected goals
1.35Kosovo xG
0.82Israel xG
52%Both score
43%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–015%
1–113%
0–011%
2–010%
0–19%
2–19%

From our goals model: Kosovo 1.3 – 0.8 Israel expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

KosovoIsrael
Attack vs UEFA Nations League average-20%-25%
Goals conceded vs average-14%+15%
Our expected goals here1.130.79

Our own ratings from every UEFA Nations League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultKosovo to win52%1.941.85
Double chanceKosovo or draw79%1.261.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score52%1.911.73
Draw no betKosovo (draw no bet)71%1.40–
Asian handicapIsrael +1 (Asian handicap)68%1.46–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals69%1.441.25
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals57%1.771.90 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals77%1.301.33
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals89%1.121.11
First team to scoreKosovo to score first55%1.82–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time47%2.12–
Half-time / full-timeHT Kosovo / FT Kosovo29%3.47–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19%11.72–

Recent results

Kosovo – last 6

DDLWWL
4 Octvs Austria1–1D
1 Oct@ Israel0–0D
27 Sep@ Austria1–3L
24 Sepvs Rep. Of Ireland1–0W
7 Junvs Andorra3–0W
31 May@ Czech Republic1–2L
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Israel – last 6

DDLLWD
4 Oct@ Rep. Of Ireland1–1D
1 Octvs Kosovo0–0D
27 Sepvs Rep. Of Ireland0–3L
24 Sep@ Austria1–3L
3 Jun@ Albania1–0W
26 Mar@ Georgia2–2D
0.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

1 Oct 2026Israel v Kosovo0–0
Kosovo vs Israel head-to-head page →

UEFA Nations League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Austria4220+48
2Kosovo4121-15
3Rep. Of Ireland4121+25
4Israel4022-52

More UEFA Nations League predictions

League hub
Norway Wales 163%1.22X20%7.00217%10.00 1.7–1.0xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 63%@1.67
Georgia Hungary 127%3.30X32%3.00241%2.30 0.6–0.9xG X2Hungary or draw 73%@1.36
Portugal Denmark 159%1.48X21%4.75220%5.50 2.1–1.3xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 64%@1.48
Northern Ireland Ukraine 147%2.30X28%2.90225%3.00 1.2–0.7xG 1XNorthern Ireland or draw 75%@1.33
Austria Rep. Of Ireland 155%1.57X24%4.00222%5.50 1.8–1.2xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 77%@1.25
Romania Poland 118%3.90X22%3.50260%1.90 1.0–2.2xG X2Poland or draw 82%@1.25
Sweden Bosnia & Herzegovina 153%1.50X25%4.20222%6.00 1.4–1.1xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 69%@1.50

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Kosovo vs Israel?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.

Who will win Kosovo vs Israel?

On our numbers Kosovo have a 52% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Israel 21%.

How many goals will there be in Kosovo vs Israel?

We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Kosovo vs Israel?

Our predicted score is Kosovo 1–0 Israel, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.

When is Kosovo vs Israel?

Kosovo vs Israel (UEFA Nations League) kicks off on Saturday 14 November 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.