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Sweden v Bosnia & Herzegovina: numbers & prediction

UEFA Nations League · Europe

Sweden

WDWWL
Sat 14 Nov 2026

Bosnia & Herzegovina

WDWDL
Sweden 53%Draw 25%Bosnia & Herzegovina 22% Expected goals 1.42 – 1.06
69%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.44 · bookmaker 1.50

7/10Rating
1.50Odds

Picks by market

ResultSweden to win53% · @1.50
Double chanceSweden or draw78% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score56% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals75% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19% · fair 11.15

Sweden vs Bosnia & Herzegovina: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

20:45 WAT, Saturday 14 November: Sweden v Bosnia & Herzegovina in the UEFA Nations League. In the table, Sweden are 1st on 10 points after 4 matches; Bosnia & Herzegovina are 2nd with 8. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Sweden, last 5: WDWWL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Romania, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Bosnia & Herzegovina, last 5: WDWDL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Poland, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (2 Oct 2026) it ended Bosnia & Herzegovina 1–1 Sweden.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Sweden 1.4 xG, Bosnia & Herzegovina 1.1 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 56%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Sweden 53%, draw 25%, Bosnia & Herzegovina 22%.
  • GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.67.

Betarazi verdict

We are going with Under 3.5 goals (69%, odds 1.50 – longer than our fair 1.44, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sweden 1–1 Bosnia & Herzegovina. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Sweden53%fair 1.90 · @1.50
Draw25%fair 3.95 · @4.20
Bosnia & Herzegovina22%fair 4.51 · @6.00
2.48Expected goals
1.42Sweden xG
1.06Bosnia & Herzegovina xG
56%Both score
52%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–012%
2–19%
0–19%
2–08%
0–08%

From our goals model: Sweden 1.4 – 1.1 Bosnia & Herzegovina expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

SwedenBosnia & Herzegovina
Attack vs UEFA Nations League average+7%+7%
Goals conceded vs average-18%-20%
Our expected goals here1.041.09

Our own ratings from every UEFA Nations League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSweden to win53%1.901.50
Double chanceSweden or draw78%1.281.12
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score56%1.791.67
Draw no betSweden (draw no bet)70%1.42–
Asian handicapBosnia & Herzegovina +1 (Asian handicap)71%1.40–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals75%1.331.18
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals52%1.921.60
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals69%1.441.50
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals84%1.191.20
First team to scoreSweden to score first53%1.90–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time44%2.27–
Half-time / full-timeHT Sweden / FT Sweden27%3.74–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19%11.15–

Recent results

Sweden – last 6

WDWWLD
5 Oct@ Romania1–0W
2 Oct@ Bosnia & Herzegovina1–1D
28 Sepvs Poland3–1W
25 Sepvs Romania2–1W
30 Jun@ France0–3L
26 Jun@ Japan1–1D
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Bosnia & Herzegovina – last 6

WDWDLW
5 Octvs Poland1–0W
2 Octvs Sweden1–1D
28 Sep@ Romania4–2W
25 Sep@ Poland0–0D
2 Jul@ USA0–2L
24 Junvs Qatar3–1W
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

2 Oct 2026Bosnia & Herzegovina v Sweden1–1
Sweden vs Bosnia & Herzegovina head-to-head page →

UEFA Nations League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Sweden4310+410
2Bosnia & Herzegovina4220+38
3Poland4112+34
4Romania4004-100

More UEFA Nations League predictions

League hub
Kosovo Israel 152%1.85X28%3.40221%4.20 1.3–0.8xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 77%@1.33
Norway Wales 163%1.22X20%7.00217%10.00 1.7–1.0xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 63%@1.67
Georgia Hungary 127%3.30X32%3.00241%2.30 0.6–0.9xG X2Hungary or draw 73%@1.36
Portugal Denmark 159%1.48X21%4.75220%5.50 2.1–1.3xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 64%@1.48
Northern Ireland Ukraine 147%2.30X28%2.90225%3.00 1.2–0.7xG 1XNorthern Ireland or draw 75%@1.33
Austria Rep. Of Ireland 155%1.57X24%4.00222%5.50 1.8–1.2xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 77%@1.25
Romania Poland 118%3.90X22%3.50260%1.90 1.0–2.2xG X2Poland or draw 82%@1.25

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Sweden vs Bosnia & Herzegovina?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.

Who will win Sweden vs Bosnia & Herzegovina?

On our numbers Sweden have a 53% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Bosnia & Herzegovina 22%.

How many goals will there be in Sweden vs Bosnia & Herzegovina?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Sweden vs Bosnia & Herzegovina?

Our predicted score is Sweden 1–1 Bosnia & Herzegovina, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Sweden vs Bosnia & Herzegovina?

Sweden vs Bosnia & Herzegovina (UEFA Nations League) kicks off on Saturday 14 November 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.