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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Denmark v Norway: numbers & prediction

UEFA Nations League · Europe

Denmark

WLWLD
Tue 17 Nov 2026

Norway

LLLWD
Denmark 41%Draw 22%Norway 37% Expected goals 1.76 – 1.66
69%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Strong pick · fair odds 1.46 · bookmaker 1.42

7/10Rating
1.42Odds

Picks by market

ResultDenmark to win41% · @2.39
Double chanceEither team to win78% · @1.16
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score69% · @1.42
GoalsOver 2.5 goals65% · @1.45
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–18% · fair 11.90

Denmark vs Norway: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Tuesday 17 November the UEFA Nations League brings Denmark against Norway. Kick-off: 20:45 WAT. In the table, Denmark are 2nd on 6 points after 4 matches; Norway are 4th with 3. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Denmark, last 5: WLWLD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Wales, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Norway, last 5: LLLWD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Portugal, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Denmark, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.2 for Norway.

Head to head

When they last met (24 Sep 2026) it ended Norway 3–2 Denmark.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Denmark 1.8 xG, Norway 1.7 xG – a total near 3.4. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 65% and GG at 69%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Denmark 41%, draw 22%, Norway 37%.
  • GG/NG: GG (69%) at 1.42.

Betarazi verdict

The Betarazi pick is Both teams to score (69%, odds 1.42). Most likely score in line with that pick: Denmark 1–1 Norway. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Denmark41%fair 2.45 · @2.39
Draw22%fair 4.57 · @3.92
Norway37%fair 2.68 · @2.39
3.43Expected goals
1.76Denmark xG
1.66Norway xG
69%Both score
65%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–110%
2–18%
1–28%
2–27%
1–06%
0–15%

From our goals model: Denmark 1.8 – 1.7 Norway expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

DenmarkNorway
Attack vs UEFA Nations League average+21%+11%
Goals conceded vs average+24%+23%
Our expected goals here1.821.69

Our own ratings from every UEFA Nations League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultDenmark to win41%2.452.39
Double chanceEither team to win78%1.281.16
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score69%1.461.42
Draw no betDenmark (draw no bet)52%1.92–
Asian handicapNorway +1 (Asian handicap)73%1.36–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals86%1.17–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals65%1.541.45
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals57%1.751.54
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals74%1.35–
First team to scoreDenmark to score first50%2.01–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time37%2.73–
Half-time / full-timeHT Denmark / FT Denmark25%4.06–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–18%11.90–

Recent results

Denmark – last 6

WLWLDW
4 Oct@ Wales1–0W
1 Octvs Portugal2–4L
27 Sepvs Wales2–0W
24 Sep@ Norway2–3L
3 Jun@ Congo DR0–0D
26 Marvs FYR Macedonia4–0W
1.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Norway – last 6

LLLWDW
4 Oct@ Portugal1–2L
1 Oct@ Wales1–2L
27 Sepvs Portugal1–2L
24 Sepvs Denmark3–2W
11 Julvs England1–1D
5 Jul@ Brazil2–1W
1.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
100%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

24 Sep 2026Norway v Denmark3–2
Denmark vs Norway head-to-head page →

UEFA Nations League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Portugal4400+512
2Denmark420206
3Wales4103-33
4Norway4103-23

More UEFA Nations League predictions

League hub
Wales Portugal 116%8.15X20%5.59263%1.28 0.8–1.8xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 64%@1.63
Ukraine Georgia 137%2.39X28%3.49235%2.58 0.9–0.9xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 81%@1.26
Hungary Northern Ireland 143%1.83X28%3.38228%4.11 0.9–0.8xG U2.5Under 2.5 goals 68%@1.52
Israel Austria 119%4.26X22%4.11259%1.65 1.0–2.0xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 65%@1.42
Rep. Of Ireland Kosovo 151%1.87X27%3.39223%3.92 1.3–0.9xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 66%@1.36
Poland Sweden 138%2.28X25%3.74238%2.59 1.3–1.3xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 69%@1.40
Bosnia & Herzegovina Romania 160%1.72X22%3.71218%4.27 2.0–0.9xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 76%@1.25

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Denmark vs Norway?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.42.

Who will win Denmark vs Norway?

On our numbers Denmark have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Norway 37%.

How many goals will there be in Denmark vs Norway?

We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 69% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Denmark vs Norway?

Our predicted score is Denmark 1–1 Norway, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.

When is Denmark vs Norway?

Denmark vs Norway (UEFA Nations League) kicks off on Tuesday 17 November 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.