Value bet: Northern Ireland to win @ 4.11 – our chance 28% vs 24% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultHungary to win43% · @1.83
Double chanceHungary or draw72% · @1.15
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score54% · @1.63
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals68% · @1.52
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–016% · fair 6.27
Hungary vs Northern Ireland: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Northern Ireland travel to face Hungary on Tuesday 17 November in the UEFA Nations League – the ball rolls at 20:45 WAT. In the table, Hungary are 2nd on 7 points after 4 matches; Northern Ireland are 1st with 8. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Hungary, last 5: WWDLW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Ukraine, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.7 conceded per game.
Northern Ireland, last 5: DWDWL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Georgia, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 5 clean sheets in that run.
Head to head
When they last met (28 Sep 2026) it ended Northern Ireland 0–0 Hungary.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Hungary 0.9 xG, Northern Ireland 0.8 xG – a total near 1.7. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 68%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Hungary 43%, draw 28%, Northern Ireland 28%.
Lower-risk option: Hungary or draw (72%) at 1.15.
GG/NG: NG (54%) at 1.63.
Price worth noting: Northern Ireland to win @4.11 – the bookmaker implies 24%, our ratings say 28%.
Betarazi verdict
The Betarazi pick is Under 2.5 goals (68%, odds 1.52 – longer than our fair 1.47, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Hungary 0–0 Northern Ireland. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Hungary43%fair 2.31 · @1.83
Draw28%fair 3.52 · @3.38
Northern Ireland28%fair 3.54 · @4.11
1.68Expected goals
0.86Hungary xG
0.82Northern Ireland xG
46%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–019%
1–016%
0–115%
1–113%
2–07%
0–26%
From our goals model: Hungary 0.9 – 0.8 Northern Ireland expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Hungary
Northern Ireland
Attack vs UEFA Nations League average
-12%
-1%
Goals conceded vs average
-19%
-38%
Our expected goals here
0.67
0.98
Our own ratings from every UEFA Nations League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
What is the prediction for Hungary vs Northern Ireland?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.52.
Who will win Hungary vs Northern Ireland?
On our numbers Hungary have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Northern Ireland 28%.
How many goals will there be in Hungary vs Northern Ireland?
We expect about 1.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Hungary vs Northern Ireland?
Our predicted score is Hungary 0–0 Northern Ireland, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.7 goals in total.
When is Hungary vs Northern Ireland?
Hungary vs Northern Ireland (UEFA Nations League) kicks off on Tuesday 17 November 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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