Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.26
9/10Rating
1.26Odds
U2.5
Value bet: Under 2.5 goals @ 1.89 – our chance 62% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultUkraine to win37% · @2.39
Double chanceEither team to win72% · @1.21
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score53% · @1.68
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals81% · @1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–16% · fair 16.81
Ukraine vs Georgia: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Ukraine welcome Georgia for a UEFA Nations League fixture on Tuesday 17 November (20:45 WAT). In the table, Ukraine are 3rd on 4 points after 4 matches; Georgia are 4th with 2. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Ukraine, last 5: LLDWW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Hungary, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Georgia, last 5: DLDLW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Northern Ireland, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Ukraine, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.0 for Georgia.
Head to head
When they last met (28 Sep 2026) it ended Georgia 0–0 Ukraine.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Ukraine 0.9 xG, Georgia 0.9 xG – a total near 1.8. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 62%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Ukraine 37%, draw 28%, Georgia 35%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.68.
Price worth noting: Under 2.5 goals @1.89 – the bookmaker implies 53%, our ratings say 62%.
Betarazi verdict
The Betarazi pick is Under 3.5 goals (81%, odds 1.26 – longer than our fair 1.23, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ukraine 0–0 Georgia. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Ukraine37%fair 2.71 · @2.39
Draw28%fair 3.52 · @3.49
Georgia35%fair 2.89 · @2.58
1.78Expected goals
0.89Ukraine xG
0.89Georgia xG
53%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–017%
1–015%
0–115%
1–113%
2–07%
0–27%
From our goals model: Ukraine 0.9 – 0.9 Georgia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Ukraine
Georgia
Attack vs UEFA Nations League average
-17%
-40%
Goals conceded vs average
+11%
-24%
Our expected goals here
0.78
0.83
Our own ratings from every UEFA Nations League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.26.
Who will win Ukraine vs Georgia?
On our numbers Ukraine have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Georgia 35%.
How many goals will there be in Ukraine vs Georgia?
We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ukraine vs Georgia?
Our predicted score is Ukraine 0–0 Georgia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.
When is Ukraine vs Georgia?
Ukraine vs Georgia (UEFA Nations League) kicks off on Tuesday 17 November 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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