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Bosnia & Herzegovina v Romania: numbers & prediction

Tue 17 Nov 2026

Romania

LLLLW
Bosnia & Herzegovina 60%Draw 22%Romania 18% Expected goals 2.03 – 0.92
76%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.31 · bookmaker 1.25

8/10Rating
1.25Odds

Picks by market

ResultBosnia & Herzegovina to win60% · @1.72
Double chanceBosnia & Herzegovina or draw82% · @1.13
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score52% · @1.81
GoalsOver 1.5 goals76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–07% · fair 13.70

Bosnia & Herzegovina vs Romania: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

20:45 WAT, Tuesday 17 November: Bosnia & Herzegovina v Romania in the UEFA Nations League. In the table, Bosnia & Herzegovina are 2nd on 8 points after 4 matches; Romania are 4th with 0.

Current form

Bosnia & Herzegovina, last 5: WDWDL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Poland, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Romania, last 5: LLLLW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Sweden, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.5 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Bosnia & Herzegovina, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.7 for Romania.

Head to head

When they last met (28 Sep 2026) it ended Romania 2–4 Bosnia & Herzegovina.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Bosnia & Herzegovina 2.0 xG, Romania 0.9 xG – a total near 3.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 52% and GG at 48%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Bosnia & Herzegovina 60%, draw 22%, Romania 18%.
  • Lower-risk option: Bosnia & Herzegovina or draw (82%) at 1.13.
  • GG/NG: NG (52%) at 1.81.

Betarazi verdict

The Betarazi pick is Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Bosnia & Herzegovina 2–0 Romania. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Bosnia & Herzegovina60%fair 1.66 · @1.72
Draw22%fair 4.62 · @3.71
Romania18%fair 5.54 · @4.27
2.96Expected goals
2.03Bosnia & Herzegovina xG
0.92Romania xG
48%Both score
52%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–011%
1–011%
2–110%
1–110%
3–07%
3–17%

From our goals model: Bosnia & Herzegovina 2.0 – 0.9 Romania expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

Bosnia & HerzegovinaRomania
Attack vs UEFA Nations League average+7%-11%
Goals conceded vs average-20%+70%
Our expected goals here2.230.87

Our own ratings from every UEFA Nations League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultBosnia & Herzegovina to win60%1.661.72
Double chanceBosnia & Herzegovina or draw82%1.221.13
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score52%1.911.81
Draw no betBosnia & Herzegovina (draw no bet)77%1.30–
Asian handicapBosnia & Herzegovina -0.5 (Asian handicap)63%1.58–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals76%1.311.25
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals52%1.911.99
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals70%1.431.24
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals82%1.22–
First team to scoreBosnia & Herzegovina to score first65%1.53–
Half-time resultBosnia & Herzegovina ahead at half-time46%2.18–
Half-time / full-timeHT Bosnia & Herzegovina / FT Bosnia & Herzegovina41%2.47–
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–07%13.70–

Recent results

Bosnia & Herzegovina – last 6

WDWDLW
5 Octvs Poland1–0W
2 Octvs Sweden1–1D
28 Sep@ Romania4–2W
25 Sep@ Poland0–0D
2 Jul@ USA0–2L
24 Junvs Qatar3–1W
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Romania – last 6

LLLLWD
5 Octvs Sweden0–1L
2 Oct@ Poland0–6L
28 Sepvs Bosnia & Herzegovina2–4L
25 Sep@ Sweden1–2L
6 Junvs Wales2–1W
2 Jun@ Georgia1–1D
1.0Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

28 Sep 2026Romania v Bosnia & Herzegovina2–4
Bosnia & Herzegovina vs Romania head-to-head page →

UEFA Nations League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Sweden4310+410
2Bosnia & Herzegovina4220+38
3Poland4112+34
4Romania4004-100

More UEFA Nations League predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Bosnia & Herzegovina vs Romania?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Bosnia & Herzegovina vs Romania?

On our numbers Bosnia & Herzegovina have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Romania 18%.

How many goals will there be in Bosnia & Herzegovina vs Romania?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Bosnia & Herzegovina vs Romania?

Our predicted score is Bosnia & Herzegovina 2–0 Romania, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.

When is Bosnia & Herzegovina vs Romania?

Bosnia & Herzegovina vs Romania (UEFA Nations League) kicks off on Tuesday 17 November 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.