Sarmiento de La Banda 62%Draw 23%Tucuman Central 15%Expected goals 1.78 – 0.69
67%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.50 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.50 – our chance 51% vs 40% implied by the price (edge +27%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultSarmiento de La Banda to win ✓62% · @1.62
Double chanceSarmiento de La Banda or draw ✓85% · @1.11
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @2.50
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.83
Sarmiento de La Banda vs Tucuman Central: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 17 May the Torneo Federal A brings Sarmiento de La Banda against Tucuman Central at Stadio Ciudad de La Banda. Kick-off: 20:30 WAT. In the table, Sarmiento de La Banda are 13th, upper half, on 25 points after 16 matches; Tucuman Central are 32nd (lower half) with 17.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sarmiento de La Banda 1.8 xG, Tucuman Central 0.7 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 41%, GG 51%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sarmiento de La Banda 62%, draw 23%, Tucuman Central 15%.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 2.50.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.50 – the bookmaker implies 40%, our ratings say 51%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (67%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sarmiento de La Banda 2–0 Tucuman Central. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sarmiento de La Banda62%fair 1.62 · @1.62
Draw23%fair 4.26 · @3.25
Tucuman Central15%fair 6.67 · @5.25
2.47Expected goals
1.78Sarmiento de La Banda xG
0.69Tucuman Central xG
51%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
2–013%
1–110%
2–19%
0–08%
3–08%
From our goals model: Sarmiento de La Banda 1.8 – 0.7 Tucuman Central expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Sarmiento de La Banda
Tucuman Central
Attack vs Torneo Federal A average
+2%
-8%
Goals conceded vs average
+13%
+77%
Our expected goals here
2.17
0.75
Our own ratings from every Torneo Federal A result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sarmiento de La Banda to win✓
62%
1.62
1.62
Double chance
Sarmiento de La Banda or draw✓
85%
1.18
1.11
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.98
2.50 ▲
Draw no bet
Sarmiento de La Banda (draw no bet)✓
80%
1.24
–
Asian handicap
Sarmiento de La Banda -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
67%
1.50
1.50
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.70
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.17
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
1.05
First team to score
Sarmiento de La Banda to score first✓
66%
1.51
–
Half-time result
Sarmiento de La Banda ahead at half-time✗
44%
2.25
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sarmiento de La Banda / FT Sarmiento de La Banda✗
40%
2.50
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.83
–
Recent results
Sarmiento de La Banda – last 1
D
12 Apr
vs Juventud Antoniana
0–0
D
0.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Tucuman Central – last 2
LW
19 Apr
@ Boca Unidos
1–3
L
5 Apr
vs San Martin Formosa
2–0
W
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sarmiento de La Banda and Tucuman Central.
What is the prediction for Sarmiento de La Banda vs Tucuman Central?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Sarmiento de La Banda vs Tucuman Central?
On our numbers Sarmiento de La Banda have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Tucuman Central 15%.
How many goals will there be in Sarmiento de La Banda vs Tucuman Central?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sarmiento de La Banda vs Tucuman Central?
Our predicted score is Sarmiento de La Banda 2–0 Tucuman Central, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Sarmiento de La Banda vs Tucuman Central?
Sarmiento de La Banda vs Tucuman Central (Torneo Federal A) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 20:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Ciudad de La Banda.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
