Very strong pick · fair odds 1.21 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
U2.5
Value bet: Under 2.5 goals @ 1.65 – our chance 65% vs 61% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultGimnasia Chivilcoy to win ✓62% · @1.22
Double chanceGimnasia Chivilcoy or draw ✓88% · @1.03
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓58% · @1.40
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓21% · fair 4.75
Gimnasia Chivilcoy vs El Linqueño: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
20:00 WAT, Sunday 5 July: Gimnasia Chivilcoy v El Linqueño in the Torneo Federal A, played at Jose Maria Paz. In the table, Gimnasia Chivilcoy are 6th, upper half, on 27 points after 18 matches; El Linqueño are 26th (lower half) with 19.
Current form
Gimnasia Chivilcoy, last 5: LWDDL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to 9 de Julio Rafaela, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
El Linqueño, last 5: DLWLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Sportivo Belgrano, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Momentum favours Gimnasia Chivilcoy, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.7 for El Linqueño.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Gimnasia Chivilcoy 1.3 xG, El Linqueño 0.5 xG – a total near 1.8. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 65% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Gimnasia Chivilcoy 62%, draw 26%, El Linqueño 12%.
GG/NG: NG (58%) at 1.40.
Price worth noting: Under 2.5 goals @1.65 – the bookmaker implies 61%, our ratings say 65%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (83%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Gimnasia Chivilcoy 1–0 El Linqueño. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Gimnasia Chivilcoy62%fair 1.62 · @1.22
Draw26%fair 3.80 · @4.20
El Linqueño12%fair 8.26 · @13.00
1.83Expected goals
1.31Gimnasia Chivilcoy xG
0.52El Linqueño xG
42%Both score
35%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–021%
0–016%
2–014%
1–111%
0–18%
2–17%
From our goals model: Gimnasia Chivilcoy 1.3 – 0.5 El Linqueño expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Gimnasia Chivilcoy
El Linqueño
Attack vs Torneo Federal A average
-2%
-10%
Goals conceded vs average
-22%
-21%
Our expected goals here
0.93
0.50
Our own ratings from every Torneo Federal A result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Gimnasia Chivilcoy to win✓
62%
1.62
1.22
Double chance
Gimnasia Chivilcoy or draw✓
88%
1.14
1.03
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
58%
1.72
1.40
Draw no bet
Gimnasia Chivilcoy (draw no bet)✓
84%
1.20
–
Asian handicap
El Linqueño +1 (Asian handicap)
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
62%
1.62
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
65%
1.55
1.65 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
92%
1.09
1.07
First team to score
Gimnasia Chivilcoy to score first✓
60%
1.66
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
51%
1.97
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Gimnasia Chivilcoy / FT Gimnasia Chivilcoy✗
33%
3.01
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
21%
4.75
–
Recent results
Gimnasia Chivilcoy – last 6
LWDDLW
28 Jun
@ 9 de Julio Rafaela
1–2
L
20 Jun
vs Atletico Escobar
2–0
W
13 Jun
@ Sportivo Las Parejas
0–0
D
7 Jun
vs Independiente De Chivilcoy
0–0
D
31 May
@ Sportivo Belgrano
0–1
L
16 Apr
@ Atletico Escobar
2–0
W
0.8Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
El Linqueño – last 6
DLWLLL
28 Jun
vs Sportivo Belgrano
1–1
D
23 Jun
@ 9 de Julio Rafaela
2–3
L
14 Jun
vs Douglas Haig
2–0
W
7 Jun
@ Atletico Escobar
0–1
L
31 May
vs Defensores de Belgrano VR
0–2
L
24 May
@ Sportivo Las Parejas
0–1
L
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Gimnasia Chivilcoy and El Linqueño.
What is the prediction for Gimnasia Chivilcoy vs El Linqueño?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Gimnasia Chivilcoy vs El Linqueño?
On our numbers Gimnasia Chivilcoy have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 26% and El Linqueño 12%.
How many goals will there be in Gimnasia Chivilcoy vs El Linqueño?
We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 35% likely and both teams score 42% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Gimnasia Chivilcoy vs El Linqueño?
Our predicted score is Gimnasia Chivilcoy 1–0 El Linqueño, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.
When is Gimnasia Chivilcoy vs El Linqueño?
Gimnasia Chivilcoy vs El Linqueño (Torneo Federal A) kicks off on Sunday 5 July 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Jose Maria Paz.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
