Value bet: Kimberley Mar del Plata to win @ 2.70 – our chance 40% vs 37% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultKimberley Mar del Plata to win ✓40% · @2.70
Double chanceEither team to win ✓70% · @1.36
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗55% · @1.50
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗71% · @1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗17% · fair 5.93
Sol de Mayo vs Kimberley Mar del Plata: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Sol de Mayo welcome Kimberley Mar del Plata to Estadio Sol De Mayo for a Torneo Federal A fixture on Sunday 5 July (19:00 WAT). In the table, Sol de Mayo are 28th, lower half, on 18 points after 16 matches; Kimberley Mar del Plata are 8th (upper half) with 26.
Current form
Sol de Mayo, last 5: WDLWL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Guillermo Brown, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Kimberley Mar del Plata, last 5: WDDLW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Guillermo Brown, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sol de Mayo 0.8 xG, Kimberley Mar del Plata 1.0 xG – a total near 1.8. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 71%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sol de Mayo 30%, draw 30%, Kimberley Mar del Plata 40%.
GG/NG: NG (55%) at 1.50.
Price worth noting: Kimberley Mar del Plata to win @2.70 – the bookmaker implies 37%, our ratings say 40%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (71%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sol de Mayo 0–1 Kimberley Mar del Plata. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sol de Mayo30%fair 3.29 · @2.62
Draw30%fair 3.38 · @2.75
Kimberley Mar del Plata40%fair 2.50 · @2.70
1.82Expected goals
0.78Sol de Mayo xG
1.05Kimberley Mar del Plata xG
45%Both score
29%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–117%
0–016%
1–113%
1–013%
0–29%
1–27%
From our goals model: Sol de Mayo 0.8 – 1.0 Kimberley Mar del Plata expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Sol de Mayo
Kimberley Mar del Plata
Attack vs Torneo Federal A average
-3%
+11%
Goals conceded vs average
+55%
-32%
Our expected goals here
0.79
1.23
Our own ratings from every Torneo Federal A result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Kimberley Mar del Plata to win✓
40%
2.50
2.70 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
70%
1.42
1.36
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
55%
1.82
1.50
Draw no bet
Kimberley Mar del Plata (draw no bet)✓
57%
1.76
–
Asian handicap
Sol de Mayo +1 (Asian handicap)
78%
1.28
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
55%
1.82
1.67
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
71%
1.42
1.36
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
87%
1.16
1.11
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
94%
1.07
1.02
First team to score
Kimberley Mar del Plata to score first✓
48%
2.08
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
52%
1.92
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
24%
4.19
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
17%
5.93
–
Recent results
Sol de Mayo – last 6
WDLWLL
21 Jun
@ Guillermo Brown
1–0
W
14 Jun
vs Olimpo Bahia Blanca
1–1
D
7 Jun
@ Alvarado
0–2
L
31 May
vs Santamarina
3–2
W
24 May
@ Germinal de Rawson
0–1
L
17 May
@ Villa Mitre
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Kimberley Mar del Plata – last 6
WDDLWD
28 Jun
vs Guillermo Brown
3–0
W
20 Jun
@ Olimpo Bahia Blanca
0–0
D
14 Jun
vs Alvarado
2–2
D
7 Jun
@ Santamarina
0–1
L
30 May
vs Germinal de Rawson
1–0
W
25 May
@ Villa Mitre
0–0
D
1.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sol de Mayo and Kimberley Mar del Plata.
What is the prediction for Sol de Mayo vs Kimberley Mar del Plata?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Sol de Mayo vs Kimberley Mar del Plata?
On our numbers Sol de Mayo have a 30% chance of winning, the draw 30% and Kimberley Mar del Plata 40%.
How many goals will there be in Sol de Mayo vs Kimberley Mar del Plata?
We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 29% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sol de Mayo vs Kimberley Mar del Plata?
Our predicted score is Sol de Mayo 0–1 Kimberley Mar del Plata, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.
When is Sol de Mayo vs Kimberley Mar del Plata?
Sol de Mayo vs Kimberley Mar del Plata (Torneo Federal A) kicks off on Sunday 5 July 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Sol De Mayo.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
