Gimnasia Concepción 55%Draw 26%9 de Julio Rafaela 19%Expected goals 1.54 – 0.70
81%
Betarazi pick
Gimnasia Concepción or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.44Odds
Picks by market
ResultGimnasia Concepción to win ✓55% · @1.73
Double chanceGimnasia Concepción or draw ✓81% · @1.44
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓50% · @1.67
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.12
Gimnasia Concepción vs 9 de Julio Rafaela: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
9 de Julio Rafaela travel to face Gimnasia Concepción on Sunday 5 July in the Torneo Federal A, with Estadio Manuel y Ramon Nunez the venue – the ball rolls at 19:00 WAT. In the table, Gimnasia Concepción are 33rd, lower half, on 17 points after 18 matches; 9 de Julio Rafaela are 14th (upper half) with 25.
Current form
Gimnasia Concepción, last 5: LLDWD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Atletico Escobar, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
9 de Julio Rafaela, last 5: WWLDD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Gimnasia Chivilcoy, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Gimnasia Concepción 1.5 xG, 9 de Julio Rafaela 0.7 xG – a total near 2.2. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 42%, GG 50%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Gimnasia Concepción 55%, draw 26%, 9 de Julio Rafaela 19%.
Lower-risk option: Gimnasia Concepción or draw (81%) at 1.44.
GG/NG: NG (50%) at 1.67.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Gimnasia Concepción or draw (81%, odds 1.44 – longer than our fair 1.23, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Gimnasia Concepción 1–0 9 de Julio Rafaela. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Gimnasia Concepción55%fair 1.81 · @1.73
Draw26%fair 3.84 · @3.25
9 de Julio Rafaela19%fair 5.37 · @4.33
2.24Expected goals
1.54Gimnasia Concepción xG
0.709 de Julio Rafaela xG
50%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–016%
2–013%
1–112%
0–011%
2–19%
0–17%
From our goals model: Gimnasia Concepción 1.5 – 0.7 9 de Julio Rafaela expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Gimnasia Concepción
9 de Julio Rafaela
Attack vs Torneo Federal A average
-14%
+33%
Goals conceded vs average
-40%
+34%
Our expected goals here
1.39
0.56
Our own ratings from every Torneo Federal A result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Gimnasia Concepción to win✓
55%
1.81
1.73
Double chance
Gimnasia Concepción or draw✓
81%
1.23
1.44 ▲
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
50%
1.99
1.67
Draw no bet
Gimnasia Concepción (draw no bet)✓
75%
1.34
–
Asian handicap
9 de Julio Rafaela +1.5 (Asian handicap)✗
70%
1.44
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
65%
1.54
1.44
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
58%
1.72
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
1.17
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
1.05
First team to score
Gimnasia Concepción to score first✓
61%
1.63
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
46%
2.20
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Gimnasia Concepción / FT Gimnasia Concepción✓
35%
2.88
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
16%
6.12
–
Recent results
Gimnasia Concepción – last 6
LLDWDW
28 Jun
@ Atletico Escobar
1–2
L
21 Jun
vs Sportivo Las Parejas
0–1
L
14 Jun
@ Independiente De Chivilcoy
0–0
D
7 Jun
vs Sportivo Belgrano
1–0
W
31 May
@ Douglas Haig
0–0
D
24 May
vs Defensores de Belgrano VR
1–0
W
0.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
9 de Julio Rafaela – last 6
WWLDDL
28 Jun
vs Gimnasia Chivilcoy
2–1
W
23 Jun
vs El Linqueño
3–2
W
13 Jun
@ Atletico Escobar
0–2
L
7 Jun
vs Sportivo Las Parejas
2–2
D
31 May
@ Independiente De Chivilcoy
2–2
D
24 May
vs Sportivo Belgrano
0–2
L
1.5Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Gimnasia Concepción and 9 de Julio Rafaela.
What is the prediction for Gimnasia Concepción vs 9 de Julio Rafaela?
Our pick is Gimnasia Concepción or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Gimnasia Concepción vs 9 de Julio Rafaela?
On our numbers Gimnasia Concepción have a 55% chance of winning, the draw 26% and 9 de Julio Rafaela 19%.
How many goals will there be in Gimnasia Concepción vs 9 de Julio Rafaela?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Gimnasia Concepción vs 9 de Julio Rafaela?
Our predicted score is Gimnasia Concepción 1–0 9 de Julio Rafaela, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Gimnasia Concepción vs 9 de Julio Rafaela?
Gimnasia Concepción vs 9 de Julio Rafaela (Torneo Federal A) kicks off on Sunday 5 July 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Manuel y Ramon Nunez.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
