Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.28 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.28Odds
Picks by market
ResultOlimpo Bahia Blanca to win ✗40% · @2.15
Double chanceOlimpo Bahia Blanca or draw ✓73% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓59% · @1.40
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓78% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗21% · fair 4.84
Olimpo Bahia Blanca vs Villa Mitre: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
19:00 WAT, Sunday 5 July: Olimpo Bahia Blanca v Villa Mitre in the Torneo Federal A, played at Estadio Roberto Natalio Carminatti. In the table, Olimpo Bahia Blanca are 1st, leading the league, on 31 points after 16 matches; Villa Mitre are 16th (upper half) with 23.
Current form
Olimpo Bahia Blanca, last 5: DDDDL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Circulo Deportivo, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Villa Mitre, last 5: WWDDW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Alvarado, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 5 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Villa Mitre, collecting 2.3 points per game to 0.8 for Olimpo Bahia Blanca.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Olimpo Bahia Blanca 0.9 xG, Villa Mitre 0.6 xG – a total near 1.4. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 78% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Olimpo Bahia Blanca 40%, draw 33%, Villa Mitre 27%.
Lower-risk option: Olimpo Bahia Blanca or draw (73%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: NG (59%) at 1.40.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (78%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Olimpo Bahia Blanca 0–0 Villa Mitre. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Olimpo Bahia Blanca40%fair 2.50 · @2.15
Draw33%fair 3.01 · @2.60
Villa Mitre27%fair 3.73 · @3.70
1.42Expected goals
0.85Olimpo Bahia Blanca xG
0.56Villa Mitre xG
41%Both score
22%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–024%
1–021%
0–114%
1–112%
2–09%
2–15%
From our goals model: Olimpo Bahia Blanca 0.9 – 0.6 Villa Mitre expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Olimpo Bahia Blanca
Villa Mitre
Attack vs Torneo Federal A average
+4%
+9%
Goals conceded vs average
-34%
-28%
Our expected goals here
0.90
0.51
Our own ratings from every Torneo Federal A result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Olimpo Bahia Blanca to win✗
40%
2.50
2.15
Double chance
Olimpo Bahia Blanca or draw✓
73%
1.37
1.22
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
59%
1.69
1.40
Draw no bet
Olimpo Bahia Blanca (draw no bet)
60%
1.67
–
Asian handicap
Villa Mitre +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Under 1.5 goals✓
54%
1.87
1.91
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.28
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
1.08
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
95%
1.05
1.02
First team to score
Olimpo Bahia Blanca to score first✗
46%
2.20
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
59%
1.70
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✓
31%
3.26
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
21%
4.84
–
Recent results
Olimpo Bahia Blanca – last 6
DDDDLD
28 Jun
@ Circulo Deportivo
1–1
D
20 Jun
vs Kimberley Mar del Plata
0–0
D
14 Jun
@ Sol de Mayo
1–1
D
7 Jun
vs Guillermo Brown
0–0
D
24 May
@ Alvarado
0–2
L
17 May
@ Santamarina
0–0
D
0.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Villa Mitre – last 6
WWDDWW
28 Jun
vs Alvarado
1–0
W
20 Jun
@ Santamarina
2–0
W
14 Jun
vs Germinal de Rawson
0–0
D
25 May
vs Kimberley Mar del Plata
0–0
D
17 May
vs Sol de Mayo
2–1
W
29 Mar
vs Circulo Deportivo
2–0
W
1.2Scored / game
0.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Olimpo Bahia Blanca and Villa Mitre.
What is the prediction for Olimpo Bahia Blanca vs Villa Mitre?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Olimpo Bahia Blanca vs Villa Mitre?
On our numbers Olimpo Bahia Blanca have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 33% and Villa Mitre 27%.
How many goals will there be in Olimpo Bahia Blanca vs Villa Mitre?
We expect about 1.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 22% likely and both teams score 41% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Olimpo Bahia Blanca vs Villa Mitre?
Our predicted score is Olimpo Bahia Blanca 0–0 Villa Mitre, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.4 goals in total.
When is Olimpo Bahia Blanca vs Villa Mitre?
Olimpo Bahia Blanca vs Villa Mitre (Torneo Federal A) kicks off on Sunday 5 July 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Roberto Natalio Carminatti.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
