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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Barracas Central v A. Italiano: numbers & prediction

CONMEBOL Sudamericana · South America · Estadio Florencio Sola

Barracas Central

DDDWD
1–1
FT

A. Italiano

DLWLL
Barracas Central 42%Draw 29%A. Italiano 29% Expected goals 1.08 – 0.80
68%
Betarazi pick

Under 2.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.47 · bookmaker 1.45 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.45Odds
2

Value bet: A. Italiano to win @ 3.80 – our chance 29% vs 26% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultBarracas Central to win ✗42% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✗71% · @1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗52% · @1.62
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓68% · @1.45
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.07

Barracas Central vs A. Italiano: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Barracas Central welcome A. Italiano to Estadio Florencio Sola for a CONMEBOL Sudamericana fixture on Wednesday 29 April (01:00 WAT). In the table, Barracas Central are 4th on 3 points after 6 matches; A. Italiano are 3rd with 7.

Current form

Barracas Central, last 5: DDDWD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Racing Club, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

A. Italiano, last 5: DLWLL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Deportes Limache, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Barracas Central, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.7 for A. Italiano.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Barracas Central 1.1 xG, A. Italiano 0.8 xG – a total near 1.9. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 68%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Barracas Central 42%, draw 29%, A. Italiano 29%.
  • GG/NG: NG (52%) at 1.62.
  • Price worth noting: A. Italiano to win @3.80 – the bookmaker implies 26%, our ratings say 29%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (68%, odds 1.45). Most likely score in line with that pick: Barracas Central 1–0 A. Italiano. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Barracas Central42%fair 2.41 · @2.10
Draw29%fair 3.43 · @3.05
A. Italiano29%fair 3.41 · @3.80
1.88Expected goals
1.08Barracas Central xG
0.80A. Italiano xG
48%Both score
32%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–016%
0–015%
1–113%
0–112%
2–09%
2–17%

From our goals model: Barracas Central 1.1 – 0.8 A. Italiano expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultBarracas Central to win ✗42%2.412.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✗71%1.411.30
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗52%1.931.62
Draw no betBarracas Central (draw no bet)59%1.71–
Asian handicapA. Italiano +1 (Asian handicap) ✓77%1.29–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓58%1.711.55
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓68%1.471.45
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓85%1.171.14
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓93%1.071.04
First team to scoreBarracas Central to score first ✓49%2.05–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗51%1.95–
Half-time / full-timeHT Barracas Central / FT Barracas Central ✗23%4.26–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16%6.07–

Recent results

Barracas Central – last 6

DDDWDL
25 Apr@ Racing Club1–1D
20 Aprvs Belgrano Cordoba0–0D
16 Apr@ Olimpia0–0D
12 Apr@ Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto2–1W
7 Aprvs Vasco DA Gama0–0D
2 Aprvs Sarmiento Junin1–2L
0.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

A. Italiano – last 6

DLWLLL
25 Aprvs Deportes Limache2–2D
20 Apr@ Huachipato2–3L
15 Apr@ Vasco DA Gama2–1W
9 Aprvs Olimpia0–2L
4 Apr@ O'Higgins1–2L
31 Marvs Universidad de Chile1–3L
1.3Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Barracas Central and A. Italiano.

Barracas Central vs A. Italiano head-to-head page →

CONMEBOL Sudamericana table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Olimpia6411+413
2Vasco DA Gama6312+410
3A. Italiano6213-27
4Barracas Central6033-63

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FT Deportivo Recoleta0 Deportivo Cuenca0 142%2.20X27%3.10230%3.35 1.3–1.0xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 80%@1.20 ✓
FT O'Higgins2 Boston River0 156%1.62X26%3.65218%5.50 1.4–0.8xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 79%@1.25 ✓
FT Caracas FC1 Racing Club1 129%4.80X24%3.55247%1.73 1.3–1.3xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 74%@1.25 ✓
FT Deportivo Riestra2 Atletico Torque1 129%2.18X27%2.98244%3.65 0.7–1.2xG U2.5Under 2.5 goals 69%@1.40 ✗
FT Juventud4 Puerto Cabello0 141%2.00X28%3.15231%3.90 1.2–1.0xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 64%@1.48 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Barracas Central vs A. Italiano?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.

Who will win Barracas Central vs A. Italiano?

On our numbers Barracas Central have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 29% and A. Italiano 29%.

How many goals will there be in Barracas Central vs A. Italiano?

We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Barracas Central vs A. Italiano?

Our predicted score is Barracas Central 1–0 A. Italiano, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.

When is Barracas Central vs A. Italiano?

Barracas Central vs A. Italiano (CONMEBOL Sudamericana) kicks off on Wednesday 29 April 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Florencio Sola.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.