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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Deportivo Recoleta v Deportivo Cuenca: numbers & prediction

CONMEBOL Sudamericana · South America · Estadio Defensores del Chaco

Deportivo Recoleta

WDDWL
0–0
FT

Deportivo Cuenca

LLWWL
Deportivo Recoleta 42%Draw 27%Deportivo Cuenca 30% Expected goals 1.28 – 1.00
80%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.20Odds

Picks by market

ResultDeportivo Recoleta to win ✗42% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✗73% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.94

Deportivo Recoleta vs Deportivo Cuenca: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

01:30 WAT, Wednesday 29 April: Deportivo Recoleta v Deportivo Cuenca in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, played at Estadio Defensores del Chaco. In the table, Deportivo Recoleta are 1st on 8 points after 6 matches; Deportivo Cuenca are 4th with 6. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Deportivo Recoleta, last 5: WDDWL Their latest outing: 5–0 win over 2 de Mayo, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 4. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Deportivo Cuenca, last 5: LLWWL Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Orense SC, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Momentum favours Deportivo Recoleta, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.2 for Deportivo Cuenca.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Deportivo Recoleta 1.3 xG, Deportivo Cuenca 1.0 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 40%, GG 52%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Deportivo Recoleta 42%, draw 27%, Deportivo Cuenca 30%.
  • GG/NG: GG (52%) at 2.00.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (80%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Deportivo Recoleta 1–0 Deportivo Cuenca. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Deportivo Recoleta42%fair 2.36 · @2.20
Draw27%fair 3.65 · @3.10
Deportivo Cuenca30%fair 3.31 · @3.35
2.28Expected goals
1.28Deportivo Recoleta xG
1.00Deportivo Cuenca xG
52%Both score
40%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–013%
1–113%
0–010%
0–110%
2–08%
2–18%

From our goals model: Deportivo Recoleta 1.3 – 1.0 Deportivo Cuenca expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultDeportivo Recoleta to win ✗42%2.362.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✗73%1.381.30
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗52%1.942.00
Draw no betDeportivo Recoleta (draw no bet)58%1.71–
Asian handicapDeportivo Cuenca +1 (Asian handicap) ✓75%1.34–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗66%1.521.45
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓60%1.661.57
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80%1.261.20
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓91%1.101.05
First team to scoreDeportivo Recoleta to score first ✗50%1.98–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓46%2.16–
Half-time / full-timeHT Deportivo Recoleta / FT Deportivo Recoleta ✗25%4.04–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%11.94–

Recent results

Deportivo Recoleta – last 6

WDDWLW
19 Aprvs 2 de Mayo5–0W
15 Apr@ Santos1–1D
8 Aprvs San Lorenzo1–1D
5 Aprvs Club Sp. San Lorenzo4–2W
31 Mar@ Libertad Asuncion0–1L
27 Marvs Rubio NU1–0W
2.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Deportivo Cuenca – last 6

LLWWLD
22 Aprvs Orense SC1–3L
17 Apr@ San Lorenzo0–2L
8 Aprvs Santos1–0W
5 Apr@ Emelec2–0W
17 Mar@ Universidad Catolica0–1L
14 Marvs Leones del Norte1–1D
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Deportivo Recoleta and Deportivo Cuenca.

Deportivo Recoleta vs Deportivo Cuenca head-to-head page →

CONMEBOL Sudamericana table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Deportivo Recoleta6150+18
2Santos6141+27
3San Lorenzo6141+17
4Deportivo Cuenca6132-46

More CONMEBOL Sudamericana predictions

League hub
FT Barracas Central1 A. Italiano1 142%2.10X29%3.05229%3.80 1.1–0.8xG U2.5Under 2.5 goals 68%@1.45 ✓
FT Millonarios0 Sao Paulo0 151%1.81X26%3.45223%4.40 1.3–0.8xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 80%@1.22 ✓
FT O'Higgins2 Boston River0 156%1.62X26%3.65218%5.50 1.4–0.8xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 79%@1.25 ✓
FT Caracas FC1 Racing Club1 129%4.80X24%3.55247%1.73 1.3–1.3xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 74%@1.25 ✓
FT Deportivo Riestra2 Atletico Torque1 129%2.18X27%2.98244%3.65 0.7–1.2xG U2.5Under 2.5 goals 69%@1.40 ✗
FT Juventud4 Puerto Cabello0 141%2.00X28%3.15231%3.90 1.2–1.0xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 64%@1.48 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Deportivo Recoleta vs Deportivo Cuenca?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Deportivo Recoleta vs Deportivo Cuenca?

On our numbers Deportivo Recoleta have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Deportivo Cuenca 30%.

How many goals will there be in Deportivo Recoleta vs Deportivo Cuenca?

We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Deportivo Recoleta vs Deportivo Cuenca?

Our predicted score is Deportivo Recoleta 1–0 Deportivo Cuenca, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.

When is Deportivo Recoleta vs Deportivo Cuenca?

Deportivo Recoleta vs Deportivo Cuenca (CONMEBOL Sudamericana) kicks off on Wednesday 29 April 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Defensores del Chaco.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.