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O'Higgins v Boston River: numbers & prediction

CONMEBOL Sudamericana · South America · El Teniente
2–0
FT
O'Higgins 56%Draw 26%Boston River 18% Expected goals 1.37 – 0.77
79%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.25Odds

Picks by market

ResultO'Higgins to win ✓56% · @1.62
Double chanceO'Higgins or draw ✓82% · @1.14
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · @1.73
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.23

O'Higgins vs Boston River: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

03:00 WAT, Wednesday 29 April: O'Higgins v Boston River in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, played at El Teniente. In the table, O'Higgins are 2nd on 10 points after 6 matches; Boston River are 4th with 3.

Current form

O'Higgins, last 5: LLWWW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Sao Paulo, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Boston River, last 5: LWLLW Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to Atletico Torque, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Momentum favours O'Higgins, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.0 for Boston River.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give O'Higgins 1.4 xG, Boston River 0.8 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 59%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – O'Higgins 56%, draw 26%, Boston River 18%.
  • Lower-risk option: O'Higgins or draw (82%) at 1.14.
  • GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.73.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (79%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: O'Higgins 1–0 Boston River. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

O'Higgins56%fair 1.78 · @1.62
Draw26%fair 3.88 · @3.65
Boston River18%fair 5.53 · @5.50
2.15Expected goals
1.37O'Higgins xG
0.77Boston River xG
49%Both score
41%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–016%
1–112%
0–012%
2–011%
0–19%
2–19%

From our goals model: O'Higgins 1.4 – 0.8 Boston River expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultO'Higgins to win ✓56%1.781.62
Double chanceO'Higgins or draw ✓82%1.221.14
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓51%1.971.73
Draw no betO'Higgins (draw no bet) ✓76%1.32–
Asian handicapBoston River +1 (Asian handicap) ✗66%1.51–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓66%1.501.35
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓59%1.691.73
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79%1.261.25
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓90%1.111.08
First team to scoreO'Higgins to score first ✓57%1.77–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗47%2.11–
Half-time / full-timeHT O'Higgins / FT O'Higgins ✓30%3.31–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16%6.23–

Recent results

O'Higgins – last 6

LLWWWW
14 Apr@ Sao Paulo0–2L
11 Aprvs Huachipato0–2L
8 Aprvs Millonarios2–0W
4 Aprvs A. Italiano2–1W
31 Mar@ Palestino3–1W
27 Mar@ Everton de Vina2–1W
1.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Boston River – last 6

LWLLWL
24 Apr@ Atletico Torque1–4L
20 Aprvs Cerro Largo1–0W
16 Apr@ Millonarios0–1L
8 Aprvs Sao Paulo0–1L
29 Mar@ Juventud2–1W
26 Marvs Penarol0–2L
0.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between O'Higgins and Boston River.

O'Higgins vs Boston River head-to-head page →

CONMEBOL Sudamericana table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Sao Paulo6330+512
2O'Higgins6312+210
3Millonarios622208
4Boston River6105-73

More CONMEBOL Sudamericana predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for O'Higgins vs Boston River?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win O'Higgins vs Boston River?

On our numbers O'Higgins have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Boston River 18%.

How many goals will there be in O'Higgins vs Boston River?

We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for O'Higgins vs Boston River?

Our predicted score is O'Higgins 1–0 Boston River, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.

When is O'Higgins vs Boston River?

O'Higgins vs Boston River (CONMEBOL Sudamericana) kicks off on Wednesday 29 April 2026 at 03:00 (West Africa Time) at El Teniente.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.