Wednesday 11 November 2026 19 live now 66% correct · last 30 days JackpotsNewsTelegram18+
BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Millonarios v Sao Paulo: numbers & prediction

CONMEBOL Sudamericana · South America · Estadio Nemesio Camacho El Campin

Millonarios

WLWLL
0–0
FT

Sao Paulo

WWWWD
Millonarios 51%Draw 26%Sao Paulo 23% Expected goals 1.33 – 0.85
80%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.22Odds

Picks by market

ResultMillonarios to win ✗51% · @1.81
Double chanceMillonarios or draw ✓77% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.80

Millonarios vs Sao Paulo: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Sao Paulo travel to face Millonarios on Wednesday 29 April in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, with Estadio Nemesio Camacho El Campin the venue – the ball rolls at 01:30 WAT. In the table, Millonarios are 3rd on 8 points after 6 matches; Sao Paulo are 1st with 12.

Current form

Millonarios, last 5: WLWLL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Deportes Tolima, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Sao Paulo, last 5: WWWWD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Mirassol, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Sao Paulo, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.2 for Millonarios.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Millonarios 1.3 xG, Sao Paulo 0.8 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 60%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Millonarios 51%, draw 26%, Sao Paulo 23%.
  • Lower-risk option: Millonarios or draw (77%) at 1.20.
  • GG/NG: GG (51%) at 2.00.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (80%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Millonarios 1–0 Sao Paulo. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Millonarios51%fair 1.97 · @1.81
Draw26%fair 3.84 · @3.45
Sao Paulo23%fair 4.32 · @4.40
2.17Expected goals
1.33Millonarios xG
0.85Sao Paulo xG
51%Both score
40%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–015%
1–113%
0–011%
2–010%
0–110%
2–18%

From our goals model: Millonarios 1.3 – 0.8 Sao Paulo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultMillonarios to win ✗51%1.971.81
Double chanceMillonarios or draw ✓77%1.301.20
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗51%1.982.00
Draw no betMillonarios (draw no bet)69%1.46–
Asian handicapSao Paulo +1 (Asian handicap) ✓70%1.43–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗66%1.521.40
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓60%1.661.65
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80%1.251.22
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓91%1.101.07
First team to scoreMillonarios to score first ✗54%1.85–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓47%2.11–
Half-time / full-timeHT Millonarios / FT Millonarios ✗28%3.57–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%11.80–

Recent results

Millonarios – last 6

WLWLLD
24 Aprvs Deportes Tolima2–0W
20 Apr@ America de Cali1–3L
16 Aprvs Boston River1–0W
8 Apr@ O'Higgins0–2L
3 Apr@ Jaguares0–1L
31 Marvs Fortaleza FC2–2D
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Sao Paulo – last 6

WWWWDL
26 Aprvs Mirassol1–0W
21 Aprvs Juventude1–0W
14 Aprvs O'Higgins2–0W
8 Apr@ Boston River1–0W
1 Apr@ Internacional1–1D
22 Marvs Palmeiras0–1L
1.0Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Millonarios and Sao Paulo.

Millonarios vs Sao Paulo head-to-head page →

CONMEBOL Sudamericana table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Sao Paulo6330+512
2O'Higgins6312+210
3Millonarios622208
4Boston River6105-73

More CONMEBOL Sudamericana predictions

League hub
FT Barracas Central1 A. Italiano1 142%2.10X29%3.05229%3.80 1.1–0.8xG U2.5Under 2.5 goals 68%@1.45 ✓
FT Deportivo Recoleta0 Deportivo Cuenca0 142%2.20X27%3.10230%3.35 1.3–1.0xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 80%@1.20 ✓
FT O'Higgins2 Boston River0 156%1.62X26%3.65218%5.50 1.4–0.8xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 79%@1.25 ✓
FT Caracas FC1 Racing Club1 129%4.80X24%3.55247%1.73 1.3–1.3xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 74%@1.25 ✓
FT Deportivo Riestra2 Atletico Torque1 129%2.18X27%2.98244%3.65 0.7–1.2xG U2.5Under 2.5 goals 69%@1.40 ✗
FT Juventud4 Puerto Cabello0 141%2.00X28%3.15231%3.90 1.2–1.0xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 64%@1.48 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Millonarios vs Sao Paulo?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Millonarios vs Sao Paulo?

On our numbers Millonarios have a 51% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Sao Paulo 23%.

How many goals will there be in Millonarios vs Sao Paulo?

We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Millonarios vs Sao Paulo?

Our predicted score is Millonarios 1–0 Sao Paulo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.

When is Millonarios vs Sao Paulo?

Millonarios vs Sao Paulo (CONMEBOL Sudamericana) kicks off on Wednesday 29 April 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Nemesio Camacho El Campin.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.