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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Juventud v Puerto Cabello: numbers & prediction

CONMEBOL Sudamericana · South America · Estadio Centenario

Juventud

DLDLL
4–0
FT

Puerto Cabello

WLWLD
Juventud 41%Draw 28%Puerto Cabello 31% Expected goals 1.17 – 1.00
64%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.48 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.48Odds
2

Value bet: Puerto Cabello to win @ 3.90 – our chance 31% vs 26% implied by the price (edge +20%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultJuventud to win ✓41% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓72% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @2.10
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗81% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.82

Juventud vs Puerto Cabello: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Juventud welcome Puerto Cabello to Estadio Centenario for a CONMEBOL Sudamericana fixture on Wednesday 29 April (23:00 WAT). In the table, Juventud are 3rd on 7 points after 6 matches; Puerto Cabello are 4th with 7. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Juventud, last 5: DLDLL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Penarol, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Puerto Cabello, last 5: WLWLD Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Trujillanos FC, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Puerto Cabello, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.3 for Juventud.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Juventud 1.2 xG, Puerto Cabello 1.0 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 62%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Juventud 41%, draw 28%, Puerto Cabello 31%.
  • GG/NG: GG (52%) at 2.10.
  • Price worth noting: Puerto Cabello to win @3.90 – the bookmaker implies 26%, our ratings say 31%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (64%, odds 1.48). Most likely score in line with that pick: Juventud 1–1 Puerto Cabello. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Juventud41%fair 2.43 · @2.00
Draw28%fair 3.56 · @3.15
Puerto Cabello31%fair 3.26 · @3.90
2.17Expected goals
1.17Juventud xG
1.00Puerto Cabello xG
52%Both score
38%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–013%
0–111%
0–011%
2–18%
2–08%

From our goals model: Juventud 1.2 – 1.0 Puerto Cabello expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultJuventud to win ✓41%2.432.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓72%1.391.30
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗52%1.932.10 ▲
Draw no betJuventud (draw no bet) ✓57%1.75–
Asian handicapPuerto Cabello +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗60%1.66–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓64%1.571.48
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗62%1.601.53
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗81%1.231.18
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓92%1.091.05
First team to scoreJuventud to score first ✓48%2.10–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗48%2.09–
Half-time / full-timeHT Juventud / FT Juventud ✓22%4.45–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%12.82–

Recent results

Juventud – last 6

DLDLLL
21 Apr@ Penarol2–2D
16 Apr@ Atletico-MG1–2L
9 Aprvs Cienciano1–1D
29 Marvs Boston River1–2L
25 Mar@ Cerro0–1L
22 Marvs Albion FC0–1L
0.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Puerto Cabello – last 6

WLWLDW
21 Aprvs Trujillanos FC3–1W
17 Apr@ Cienciano0–2L
9 Aprvs Atletico-MG2–1W
5 Aprvs Deportivo Tachira FC1–2L
23 Mar@ Carabobo FC1–1D
17 Marvs UCV3–0W
1.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Juventud and Puerto Cabello.

Juventud vs Puerto Cabello head-to-head page →

CONMEBOL Sudamericana table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Atletico-MG6312+210
2Cienciano6222-28
3Juventud6141+37
4Puerto Cabello6213-37

More CONMEBOL Sudamericana predictions

League hub
FT Barracas Central1 A. Italiano1 142%2.10X29%3.05229%3.80 1.1–0.8xG U2.5Under 2.5 goals 68%@1.45 ✓
FT Millonarios0 Sao Paulo0 151%1.81X26%3.45223%4.40 1.3–0.8xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 80%@1.22 ✓
FT Deportivo Recoleta0 Deportivo Cuenca0 142%2.20X27%3.10230%3.35 1.3–1.0xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 80%@1.20 ✓
FT O'Higgins2 Boston River0 156%1.62X26%3.65218%5.50 1.4–0.8xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 79%@1.25 ✓
FT Caracas FC1 Racing Club1 129%4.80X24%3.55247%1.73 1.3–1.3xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 74%@1.25 ✓
FT Deportivo Riestra2 Atletico Torque1 129%2.18X27%2.98244%3.65 0.7–1.2xG U2.5Under 2.5 goals 69%@1.40 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Juventud vs Puerto Cabello?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.

Who will win Juventud vs Puerto Cabello?

On our numbers Juventud have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Puerto Cabello 31%.

How many goals will there be in Juventud vs Puerto Cabello?

We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Juventud vs Puerto Cabello?

Our predicted score is Juventud 1–1 Puerto Cabello, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.

When is Juventud vs Puerto Cabello?

Juventud vs Puerto Cabello (CONMEBOL Sudamericana) kicks off on Wednesday 29 April 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Centenario.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.