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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Deportivo Riestra v Atletico Torque: numbers & prediction

CONMEBOL Sudamericana · South America · Pedro Bidegain

Deportivo Riestra

LLDDL
2–1
FT

Atletico Torque

WDWWL
Deportivo Riestra 29%Draw 27%Atletico Torque 44% Expected goals 0.71 – 1.17
69%
Betarazi pick

Under 2.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.45 · bookmaker 1.40 · Lost ✗

7/10Rating
1.40Odds
2

Value bet: Atletico Torque to win @ 3.65 – our chance 44% vs 27% implied by the price (edge +60%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultAtletico Torque to win ✗44% · @3.65
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · @1.33
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗52% · @1.55
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗69% · @1.40
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗18% · fair 5.62

Deportivo Riestra vs Atletico Torque: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

23:00 WAT, Wednesday 29 April: Deportivo Riestra v Atletico Torque in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, played at Pedro Bidegain. In the table, Deportivo Riestra are 3rd on 5 points after 6 matches; Atletico Torque are 1st with 13.

Current form

Deportivo Riestra, last 5: LLDDL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Talleres Cordoba, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.2 goals a game.

Atletico Torque, last 5: WDWWL Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Boston River, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Atletico Torque, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.5 for Deportivo Riestra.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Deportivo Riestra 0.7 xG, Atletico Torque 1.2 xG – a total near 1.9. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 69%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Deportivo Riestra 29%, draw 27%, Atletico Torque 44%.
  • GG/NG: NG (52%) at 1.55.
  • Price worth noting: Atletico Torque to win @3.65 – the bookmaker implies 27%, our ratings say 44%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (69%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: Deportivo Riestra 0–1 Atletico Torque. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Deportivo Riestra29%fair 3.40 · @2.18
Draw27%fair 3.74 · @2.98
Atletico Torque44%fair 2.28 · @3.65
1.88Expected goals
0.71Deportivo Riestra xG
1.17Atletico Torque xG
48%Both score
31%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–118%
0–015%
1–113%
1–011%
0–210%
1–27%

From our goals model: Deportivo Riestra 0.7 – 1.2 Atletico Torque expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAtletico Torque to win ✗44%2.283.65 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73%1.371.33
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗52%1.911.55
Draw no betAtletico Torque (draw no bet) ✗60%1.67–
Asian handicapDeportivo Riestra +1 (Asian handicap) ✓72%1.38–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓57%1.751.62
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗69%1.451.40
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓86%1.161.12
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓94%1.071.03
First team to scoreAtletico Torque to score first53%1.90–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗51%1.96–
Half-time / full-timeHT Atletico Torque / FT Atletico Torque ✗27%3.74–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗18%5.62–

Recent results

Deportivo Riestra – last 6

LLDDLD
20 Apr@ Talleres Cordoba0–2L
14 Apr@ Gremio0–1L
8 Aprvs Palestino0–0D
25 Marvs San Lorenzo1–1D
18 Mar@ Central Cordoba de Santiago0–1L
12 Marvs Gimnasia M.0–0D
0.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Atletico Torque – last 6

WDWWLL
24 Aprvs Boston River4–1W
19 Apr@ Cerro1–1D
15 Apr@ Palestino2–0W
9 Aprvs Gremio1–0W
28 Marvs Club Nacional2–3L
24 Mar@ Deportivo Maldonado0–1L
1.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Deportivo Riestra and Atletico Torque.

Deportivo Riestra vs Atletico Torque head-to-head page →

CONMEBOL Sudamericana table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Atletico Torque6411+613
2Gremio6321+511
3Deportivo Riestra6123-65
4Palestino6033-53

More CONMEBOL Sudamericana predictions

League hub
FT Barracas Central1 A. Italiano1 142%2.10X29%3.05229%3.80 1.1–0.8xG U2.5Under 2.5 goals 68%@1.45 ✓
FT Millonarios0 Sao Paulo0 151%1.81X26%3.45223%4.40 1.3–0.8xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 80%@1.22 ✓
FT Deportivo Recoleta0 Deportivo Cuenca0 142%2.20X27%3.10230%3.35 1.3–1.0xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 80%@1.20 ✓
FT O'Higgins2 Boston River0 156%1.62X26%3.65218%5.50 1.4–0.8xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 79%@1.25 ✓
FT Caracas FC1 Racing Club1 129%4.80X24%3.55247%1.73 1.3–1.3xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 74%@1.25 ✓
FT Juventud4 Puerto Cabello0 141%2.00X28%3.15231%3.90 1.2–1.0xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 64%@1.48 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Deportivo Riestra vs Atletico Torque?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.

Who will win Deportivo Riestra vs Atletico Torque?

On our numbers Deportivo Riestra have a 29% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Atletico Torque 44%.

How many goals will there be in Deportivo Riestra vs Atletico Torque?

We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 31% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Deportivo Riestra vs Atletico Torque?

Our predicted score is Deportivo Riestra 0–1 Atletico Torque, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.

When is Deportivo Riestra vs Atletico Torque?

Deportivo Riestra vs Atletico Torque (CONMEBOL Sudamericana) kicks off on Wednesday 29 April 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time) at Pedro Bidegain.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.