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Flamengo v Estudiantes L.P.: numbers & prediction

CONMEBOL Libertadores · South America · Estádio do Maracanã
1–0
FT
Flamengo 64%Draw 23%Estudiantes L.P. 12% Expected goals 1.86 – 0.69
76%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.31 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.22Odds

Picks by market

ResultFlamengo to win ✓64% · @1.49
Double chanceFlamengo or draw ✓88% · @1.09
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · @1.55
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓15% · fair 6.89

Flamengo vs Estudiantes L.P.: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Thursday 21 May the CONMEBOL Libertadores brings Flamengo against Estudiantes L.P. at Estádio do Maracanã. Kick-off: 01:30 WAT. In the table, Flamengo are 1st on 16 points after 6 matches; Estudiantes L.P. are 2nd with 9.

Current form

Flamengo, last 5: DLWDW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Atletico Paranaense, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.

Estudiantes L.P., last 5: DWDWD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Cusco, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (30 Apr 2026) it ended Estudiantes L.P. 1–1 Flamengo.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Flamengo 1.9 xG, Estudiantes L.P. 0.7 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 48%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Flamengo 64%, draw 23%, Estudiantes L.P. 12%.
  • GG/NG: NG (52%) at 1.55.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (76%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Flamengo 1–0 Estudiantes L.P.. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Flamengo64%fair 1.55 · @1.49
Draw23%fair 4.27 · @3.95
Estudiantes L.P.12%fair 8.26 · @6.75
2.55Expected goals
1.86Flamengo xG
0.69Estudiantes L.P. xG
48%Both score
45%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–015%
2–013%
1–110%
2–19%
3–08%
0–08%

From our goals model: Flamengo 1.9 – 0.7 Estudiantes L.P. expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultFlamengo to win ✓64%1.551.49
Double chanceFlamengo or draw ✓88%1.141.09
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓52%1.931.55
Draw no betFlamengo (draw no bet) ✓84%1.19–
Asian handicapFlamengo -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓65%1.54–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗70%1.421.38
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓55%1.811.65
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76%1.311.22
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓88%1.131.07
First team to scoreFlamengo to score first ✓67%1.49–
Half-time resultFlamengo ahead at half-time ✗46%2.19–
Half-time / full-timeHT Flamengo / FT Flamengo ✗41%2.42–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓15%6.89–

Recent results

Flamengo – last 6

DLWDWW
17 May@ Atletico Paranaense1–1D
15 May@ Vitoria0–2L
10 May@ Gremio1–0W
30 Apr@ Estudiantes L.P.1–1D
23 Aprvs Vitoria2–1W
19 Aprvs Bahia2–0W
1.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Estudiantes L.P. – last 6

DWDWDL
6 May@ Cusco1–1D
3 May@ Platense2–0W
30 Aprvs Flamengo1–1D
14 Aprvs Cusco2–1W
9 Apr@ Independiente Medellin1–1D
3 Apr@ San Lorenzo0–1L
1.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

30 Apr 2026Estudiantes L.P. v Flamengo1–1
Flamengo vs Estudiantes L.P. head-to-head page →

CONMEBOL Libertadores table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Flamengo6510+1216
2Estudiantes L.P.6231+19
3Independiente Medellin6213-57
4Cusco6015-81

More CONMEBOL Libertadores predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Flamengo vs Estudiantes L.P.?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Flamengo vs Estudiantes L.P.?

On our numbers Flamengo have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Estudiantes L.P. 12%.

How many goals will there be in Flamengo vs Estudiantes L.P.?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Flamengo vs Estudiantes L.P.?

Our predicted score is Flamengo 1–0 Estudiantes L.P., the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Flamengo vs Estudiantes L.P.?

Flamengo vs Estudiantes L.P. (CONMEBOL Libertadores) kicks off on Thursday 21 May 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time) at Estádio do Maracanã.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.