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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Junior v Sporting Cristal: numbers & prediction

CONMEBOL Libertadores · South America · Estadio Romelio Martinez

Junior

DDWLW
3–2
FT

Sporting Cristal

DLWLL
Junior 48%Draw 23%Sporting Cristal 29% Expected goals 1.42 – 1.29
73%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.36 · bookmaker 1.33 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.33Odds

Picks by market

ResultJunior to win ✓48% · @1.73
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓50% · @1.85
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.58

Junior vs Sporting Cristal: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Junior welcome Sporting Cristal to Estadio Romelio Martinez for a CONMEBOL Libertadores fixture on Thursday 21 May (03:00 WAT). In the table, Junior are 4th on 4 points after 6 matches; Sporting Cristal are 3rd with 6. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Junior, last 5: DDWLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Santa Fe, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Sporting Cristal, last 5: DLWLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Alianza Lima, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (29 Apr 2026) it ended Sporting Cristal 2–0 Junior.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Junior 1.4 xG, Sporting Cristal 1.3 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 50%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Junior 48%, draw 23%, Sporting Cristal 29%.
  • GG/NG: GG (50%) at 1.85.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (73%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: Junior 1–1 Sporting Cristal. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Junior48%fair 2.08 · @1.73
Draw23%fair 4.32 · @3.60
Sporting Cristal29%fair 3.48 · @4.65
2.71Expected goals
1.42Junior xG
1.29Sporting Cristal xG
50%Both score
49%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
1–09%
2–19%
0–19%
1–28%
2–07%

From our goals model: Junior 1.4 – 1.3 Sporting Cristal expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultJunior to win ✓48%2.081.73
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77%1.301.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓50%1.991.85
Draw no betJunior (draw no bet) ✓63%1.60–
Asian handicapSporting Cristal +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗60%1.67–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73%1.361.33
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗51%1.961.80
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗72%1.391.30
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗86%1.161.10
First team to scoreJunior to score first49%2.05–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗42%2.37–
Half-time / full-timeHT Junior / FT Junior ✓23%4.28–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.58–

Recent results

Junior – last 6

DDWLWL
17 May@ Santa Fe1–1D
14 Mayvs Once Caldas2–2D
11 May@ Once Caldas1–0W
8 Mayvs Cerro Porteno0–1L
3 Mayvs Deportivo Pasto4–3W
29 Apr@ Sporting Cristal0–2L
1.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Sporting Cristal – last 6

DLWLLW
10 May@ Alianza Lima1–1D
5 Mayvs Palmeiras0–2L
29 Aprvs Junior2–0W
22 Apr@ Atletico Grau1–4L
16 Apr@ Palmeiras1–2L
9 Aprvs Cerro Porteno1–0W
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

29 Apr 2026Sporting Cristal v Junior2–0
Junior vs Sporting Cristal head-to-head page →

CONMEBOL Libertadores table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Cerro Porteno6411+413
2Palmeiras6321+511
3Sporting Cristal6204-36
4Junior6114-64

More CONMEBOL Libertadores predictions

League hub
FT Flamengo1 Estudiantes L.P.0 164%1.49X23%3.95212%6.75 1.9–0.7xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 76%@1.22 ✓
FT LDU de Quito2 Lanus0 148%1.90X28%3.40224%4.00 1.2–0.8xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 82%@1.22 ✓
FT Palmeiras0 Cerro Porteno1 166%1.31X22%4.65212%11.00 1.7–0.6xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 77%@1.28 ✓
FT Cusco2 Independiente Medellin3 136%2.34X25%3.40240%2.88 1.3–1.4xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 75%@1.25 ✓
FT Deportivo La Guaira2 Independ. Rivadavia4 127%4.50X25%3.30248%1.84 1.2–1.4xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 76%@1.20 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Junior vs Sporting Cristal?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.

Who will win Junior vs Sporting Cristal?

On our numbers Junior have a 48% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Sporting Cristal 29%.

How many goals will there be in Junior vs Sporting Cristal?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Junior vs Sporting Cristal?

Our predicted score is Junior 1–1 Sporting Cristal, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Junior vs Sporting Cristal?

Junior vs Sporting Cristal (CONMEBOL Libertadores) kicks off on Thursday 21 May 2026 at 03:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Romelio Martinez.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.