Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.10 – our chance 55% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultIndepend. Rivadavia to win ✓48% · @1.84
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @2.10
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗76% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.55
Deportivo La Guaira vs Independ. Rivadavia: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Independ. Rivadavia travel to face Deportivo La Guaira on Thursday 21 May in the CONMEBOL Libertadores, with Estadio Olimpico de la UCV the venue – the ball rolls at 23:00 WAT. In the table, Deportivo La Guaira are 4th on 3 points after 6 matches; Independ. Rivadavia are 1st with 16. There are 13 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Deportivo La Guaira, last 5: DDDDL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with UCV, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Independ. Rivadavia, last 5: LDWDW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Union Santa Fe, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Independ. Rivadavia, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.8 for Deportivo La Guaira.
Head to head
When they last met (30 Apr 2026) it ended Independ. Rivadavia 4–1 Deportivo La Guaira.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Deportivo La Guaira 1.2 xG, Independ. Rivadavia 1.4 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 55%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Deportivo La Guaira 27%, draw 25%, Independ. Rivadavia 48%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 2.10.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.10 – the bookmaker implies 48%, our ratings say 55%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (76%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Deportivo La Guaira 1–1 Independ. Rivadavia. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Deportivo La Guaira27%fair 3.77 · @4.50
Draw25%fair 3.97 · @3.30
Independ. Rivadavia48%fair 2.07 · @1.84
2.60Expected goals
1.21Deportivo La Guaira xG
1.39Independ. Rivadavia xG
55%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–110%
1–09%
1–29%
2–18%
0–07%
From our goals model: Deportivo La Guaira 1.2 – 1.4 Independ. Rivadavia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Deportivo La Guaira vs Independ. Rivadavia?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Deportivo La Guaira vs Independ. Rivadavia?
On our numbers Deportivo La Guaira have a 27% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Independ. Rivadavia 48%.
How many goals will there be in Deportivo La Guaira vs Independ. Rivadavia?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Deportivo La Guaira vs Independ. Rivadavia?
Our predicted score is Deportivo La Guaira 1–1 Independ. Rivadavia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Deportivo La Guaira vs Independ. Rivadavia?
Deportivo La Guaira vs Independ. Rivadavia (CONMEBOL Libertadores) kicks off on Thursday 21 May 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Olimpico de la UCV.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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