Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.97 – our chance 55% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultArsenal Tula to win ✗48% · @1.88
Double chanceEither team to win ✗75% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.97
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.06
Arsenal Tula vs Chelyabinsk: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Wednesday 22 April the First League brings Arsenal Tula against Chelyabinsk at Stadion Arsenal. Kick-off: 17:00 WAT. In the table, Arsenal Tula are 12th, lower half, on 19 points after 17 matches; Chelyabinsk are 11th (lower half) with 21. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Arsenal Tula, last 5: LWWLL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Fakel, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 3 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Chelyabinsk, last 5: LDLLD Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Enisey, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Arsenal Tula, collecting 1.0 points per game to 0.5 for Chelyabinsk.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Arsenal Tula 1.5 xG, Chelyabinsk 1.2 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 55%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Arsenal Tula 48%, draw 25%, Chelyabinsk 27%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.97.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.97 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 55%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (71%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: Arsenal Tula 1–1 Chelyabinsk. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Arsenal Tula48%fair 2.07 · @1.88
Draw25%fair 3.97 · @3.32
Chelyabinsk27%fair 3.77 · @4.10
2.75Expected goals
1.51Arsenal Tula xG
1.24Chelyabinsk xG
55%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–010%
2–19%
0–18%
1–27%
2–07%
From our goals model: Arsenal Tula 1.5 – 1.2 Chelyabinsk expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Arsenal Tula
Chelyabinsk
Attack vs First League average
-6%
+2%
Goals conceded vs average
+37%
+14%
Our expected goals here
1.58
1.63
Our own ratings from every First League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Arsenal Tula to win✗
48%
2.07
1.88
Double chance
Either team to win✗
75%
1.34
1.29
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.82
1.97 ▲
Draw no bet
Arsenal Tula (draw no bet)
65%
1.55
–
Asian handicap
Chelyabinsk +1 (Asian handicap)✓
72%
1.38
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
71%
1.40
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.89
1.63
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.36
1.18
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
1.03
First team to score
Arsenal Tula to score first✗
51%
1.94
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
42%
2.40
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Arsenal Tula / FT Arsenal Tula✗
26%
3.88
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.06
–
Recent results
Arsenal Tula – last 6
LWWLLL
5 Apr
vs Fakel
1–2
L
29 Mar
vs FK Sokol Saratov
3–1
W
22 Mar
@ Ska-khabarovsk
3–1
W
15 Mar
@ Ural
0–2
L
9 Mar
vs Volga Ulyanovsk
0–1
L
5 Mar
vs Lokomotiv
1–2
L
1.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Chelyabinsk – last 6
LDLLDD
17 Apr
@ Enisey
0–3
L
3 Apr
vs Chernomorets
1–1
D
29 Mar
@ Chayka
1–2
L
23 Mar
vs Torpedo Moskva
0–1
L
15 Mar
@ Volga Ulyanovsk
2–2
D
7 Mar
vs Spartak Kostroma
3–3
D
1.2Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Arsenal Tula and Chelyabinsk.
What is the prediction for Arsenal Tula vs Chelyabinsk?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Arsenal Tula vs Chelyabinsk?
On our numbers Arsenal Tula have a 48% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Chelyabinsk 27%.
How many goals will there be in Arsenal Tula vs Chelyabinsk?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Arsenal Tula vs Chelyabinsk?
Our predicted score is Arsenal Tula 1–1 Chelyabinsk, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Arsenal Tula vs Chelyabinsk?
Arsenal Tula vs Chelyabinsk (First League) kicks off on Wednesday 22 April 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Arsenal.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Chayka1
Chernomorets0
FK Sokol Saratov0
Fakel2
Rodina Moskva0