Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.40 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.40Odds
Picks by market
ResultFakel to win ✗55% · @1.53
Double chanceFakel or draw ✓81% · @1.08
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗52% · @1.52
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗81% · @1.15
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.31
Fakel vs Shinnik Yaroslavl: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Fakel welcome Shinnik Yaroslavl to Fakel Stadium for a First League fixture on Wednesday 22 April (17:00 WAT).
Current form
Fakel, last 5: LWWLW Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Rodina Moskva, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Shinnik Yaroslavl, last 5: WDDWL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Volga Ulyanovsk, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Fakel 1.3 xG, Shinnik Yaroslavl 0.8 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 62%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Fakel 55%, draw 25%, Shinnik Yaroslavl 19%.
GG/NG: NG (52%) at 1.52.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (63%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: Fakel 1–1 Shinnik Yaroslavl. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Fakel55%fair 1.80 · @1.53
Draw25%fair 3.93 · @3.70
Shinnik Yaroslavl19%fair 5.22 · @6.40
2.10Expected goals
1.30Fakel xG
0.81Shinnik Yaroslavl xG
48%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–016%
1–113%
0–012%
2–010%
0–110%
2–18%
From our goals model: Fakel 1.3 – 0.8 Shinnik Yaroslavl expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Fakel
Shinnik Yaroslavl
Attack vs First League average
-1%
-5%
Goals conceded vs average
-6%
-19%
Our expected goals here
1.19
1.04
Our own ratings from every First League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Fakel to win✗
55%
1.80
1.53
Double chance
Fakel or draw✓
81%
1.24
1.08
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
52%
1.91
1.52
Draw no bet
Fakel (draw no bet)
74%
1.35
–
Asian handicap
Shinnik Yaroslavl +1 (Asian handicap)✓
70%
1.43
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
63%
1.58
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
62%
1.60
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
81%
1.23
1.15
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
91%
1.09
1.02
First team to score
Fakel to score first✗
54%
1.85
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
48%
2.08
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Fakel / FT Fakel✗
28%
3.57
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
16%
6.31
–
Recent results
Fakel – last 5
LWWLW
13 Apr
vs Rodina Moskva
1–3
L
5 Apr
@ Arsenal Tula
2–1
W
1 Apr
@ FK Neftekhimik
2–0
W
20 Mar
@ Rotor Volgograd
0–1
L
27 Feb
vs Ural
1–0
W
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
40%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Shinnik Yaroslavl – last 5
WDDWL
12 Apr
@ Volga Ulyanovsk
1–0
W
22 Mar
@ Spartak Kostroma
1–1
D
15 Mar
vs Enisey
1–1
D
9 Mar
vs FC UFA
1–0
W
2 Mar
@ Rodina Moskva
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
60%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Fakel and Shinnik Yaroslavl.
What is the prediction for Fakel vs Shinnik Yaroslavl?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Fakel vs Shinnik Yaroslavl?
On our numbers Fakel have a 55% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Shinnik Yaroslavl 19%.
How many goals will there be in Fakel vs Shinnik Yaroslavl?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Fakel vs Shinnik Yaroslavl?
Our predicted score is Fakel 1–1 Shinnik Yaroslavl, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Fakel vs Shinnik Yaroslavl?
Fakel vs Shinnik Yaroslavl (First League) kicks off on Wednesday 22 April 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Fakel Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Chayka1
Chernomorets0
FK Sokol Saratov0
Rodina Moskva0