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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Ural v Torpedo Moskva: numbers & prediction

First League · Russia · Yekaterinburg Arena

Ural

WDWLL
2–0
FT

Torpedo Moskva

WDWWW
Ural 46%Draw 27%Torpedo Moskva 27% Expected goals 1.34 – 0.95
77%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.29 · bookmaker 1.21 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.21Odds

Picks by market

ResultUral to win ✓46% · @1.99
Double chanceUral or draw ✓73% · @1.24
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @1.86
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.59

Ural vs Torpedo Moskva: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Torpedo Moskva travel to face Ural on Wednesday 22 April in the First League, with Yekaterinburg Arena the venue – the ball rolls at 15:00 WAT. In the table, Ural are 2nd, among the top four, on 34 points after 17 matches; Torpedo Moskva are 3rd (among the top four) with 32. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Ural, last 5: WDWLL Their latest outing: 3–0 win over FK Sokol Saratov, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. 2.2 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Torpedo Moskva, last 5: WDWWW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over KAMAZ, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Ural 1.3 xG, Torpedo Moskva 0.9 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 42%, GG 51%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Ural 46%, draw 27%, Torpedo Moskva 27%.
  • Lower-risk option: Ural or draw (73%) at 1.24.
  • GG/NG: GG (51%) at 1.86.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (77%, odds 1.21). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ural 1–0 Torpedo Moskva. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Ural46%fair 2.19 · @1.99
Draw27%fair 3.68 · @3.28
Torpedo Moskva27%fair 3.69 · @3.68
2.29Expected goals
1.34Ural xG
0.95Torpedo Moskva xG
51%Both score
42%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–014%
1–113%
0–010%
0–110%
2–09%
2–19%

From our goals model: Ural 1.3 – 0.9 Torpedo Moskva expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

UralTorpedo Moskva
Attack vs First League average+24%+19%
Goals conceded vs average-37%-32%
Our expected goals here1.250.87

Our own ratings from every First League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultUral to win ✓46%2.191.99
Double chanceUral or draw ✓73%1.371.24
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗51%1.971.86
Draw no betUral (draw no bet) ✓63%1.59–
Asian handicapTorpedo Moskva +1 (Asian handicap) ✗72%1.40–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓68%1.471.31
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓58%1.731.69
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77%1.291.21
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓90%1.121.03
First team to scoreUral to score first ✓53%1.90–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗46%2.17–
Half-time / full-timeHT Ural / FT Ural ✓27%3.75–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.59–

Recent results

Ural – last 6

WDWLLW
18 Apr@ FK Sokol Saratov3–0W
12 Aprvs FC UFA0–0D
5 Aprvs Chayka5–0W
29 Mar@ Rodina Moskva1–3L
22 Marvs Enisey2–4L
15 Marvs Arsenal Tula2–0W
2.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Torpedo Moskva – last 6

WDWWWL
17 Aprvs KAMAZ2–0W
6 Apr@ FC UFA1–1D
30 Marvs Ska-khabarovsk4–1W
23 Mar@ Chelyabinsk1–0W
16 Marvs FK Neftekhimik3–0W
8 Marvs Rodina Moskva0–2L
1.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Ural and Torpedo Moskva.

Ural vs Torpedo Moskva head-to-head page →

First League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Nizhny Novgorod171511+3746
2Ural171043+1834
3Torpedo Moskva17953+1632
4FC Sochi171025+632
5Veles18945+231
6Spartak Kostroma17845+228
7Shinnik Yaroslavl17683+426
8FC UFA17575+222
9Volga Ulyanovsk18648-322
10Rotor Volgograd17566+521
11Chelyabinsk17638-421
12Arsenal Tula17548-1519
13Leningradets17467-1118
14Enisey17458-1417
15Ska-khabarovsk17449-516
16KAMAZ17359-914
17FK Neftekhimik174112-1413
18Tekstilshchik172510-1711

More First League predictions

League hub
FT Spartak Kostroma3 Ska-khabarovsk0 153%1.81X26%3.42221%4.30 1.6–1.0xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 71%@1.32 ✓
FT FC UFA0 KAMAZ1 144%2.31X28%3.06228%3.12 1.3–0.9xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 66%@1.39 ✗
FT Volga Ulyanovsk2 Chayka1 159%1.45X22%4.45219%6.05 1.8–0.9xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 74%@1.25 ✓
FT FK Neftekhimik4 Chernomorets0 141%2.01X28%3.16231%3.78 1.2–1.1xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 66%@1.38 ✓
FT FK Sokol Saratov0 Enisey4 123%4.25X28%3.10249%1.92 1.0–1.3xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 64%@1.46 ✓
FT Arsenal Tula0 Chelyabinsk0 148%1.88X25%3.32227%4.10 1.5–1.2xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 71%@1.36 ✗
FT Fakel2 Shinnik Yaroslavl2 155%1.53X25%3.70219%6.40 1.3–0.8xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 63%@1.40 ✓
FT Rotor Volgograd2 Rodina Moskva0 135%3.14X28%2.80237%2.48 1.2–1.2xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 64%@1.56 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Ural vs Torpedo Moskva?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.21.

Who will win Ural vs Torpedo Moskva?

On our numbers Ural have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Torpedo Moskva 27%.

How many goals will there be in Ural vs Torpedo Moskva?

We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Ural vs Torpedo Moskva?

Our predicted score is Ural 1–0 Torpedo Moskva, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.

When is Ural vs Torpedo Moskva?

Ural vs Torpedo Moskva (First League) kicks off on Wednesday 22 April 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Yekaterinburg Arena.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.