FK Neftekhimik 41%Draw 28%Chernomorets 31%Expected goals 1.17 – 1.12
66%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.38 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.38Odds
2
Value bet: Chernomorets to win @ 3.78 – our chance 31% vs 26% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultFK Neftekhimik to win ✓41% · @2.01
Double chanceEither team to win ✓72% · @1.32
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @1.99
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗79% · @1.16
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.89
FK Neftekhimik vs Chernomorets: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Chernomorets travel to face FK Neftekhimik on Wednesday 22 April in the First League, with Neftekhimik Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 15:30 WAT.
Current form
FK Neftekhimik, last 5: DLLWL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with KAMAZ, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Chernomorets, last 4: DLWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Chelyabinsk, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give FK Neftekhimik 1.2 xG, Chernomorets 1.1 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 40%, GG 53%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – FK Neftekhimik 41%, draw 28%, Chernomorets 31%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.99.
Price worth noting: Chernomorets to win @3.78 – the bookmaker implies 26%, our ratings say 31%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (66%, odds 1.38). Most likely score in line with that pick: FK Neftekhimik 1–1 Chernomorets. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
FK Neftekhimik41%fair 2.44 · @2.01
Draw28%fair 3.62 · @3.16
Chernomorets31%fair 3.19 · @3.78
2.29Expected goals
1.17FK Neftekhimik xG
1.12Chernomorets xG
53%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–012%
0–111%
0–010%
2–18%
1–27%
From our goals model: FK Neftekhimik 1.2 – 1.1 Chernomorets expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
FK Neftekhimik
Chernomorets
Attack vs First League average
-38%
-5%
Goals conceded vs average
+7%
+10%
Our expected goals here
1.01
1.19
Our own ratings from every First League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
FK Neftekhimik to win✓
41%
2.44
2.01
Double chance
Either team to win✓
72%
1.38
1.32
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.89
1.99 ▲
Draw no bet
FK Neftekhimik (draw no bet)✓
57%
1.76
–
Asian handicap
Chernomorets +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
63%
1.58
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
66%
1.51
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
60%
1.68
1.58
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
79%
1.26
1.16
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
1.01
First team to score
FK Neftekhimik to score first✓
46%
2.18
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
46%
2.16
–
Half-time / full-time
HT FK Neftekhimik / FT FK Neftekhimik✓
21%
4.78
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.89
–
Recent results
FK Neftekhimik – last 6
DLLWLD
10 Apr
@ KAMAZ
0–0
D
5 Apr
@ Rotor Volgograd
1–3
L
1 Apr
vs Fakel
0–2
L
22 Mar
@ FK Sokol Saratov
3–0
W
16 Mar
@ Torpedo Moskva
0–3
L
17 Feb
vs Tekstilshchik
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Chernomorets – last 4
DLWL
3 Apr
@ Chelyabinsk
1–1
D
29 Mar
vs Rotor Volgograd
1–4
L
7 Mar
vs Ska-khabarovsk
3–0
W
1 Mar
vs Torpedo Moskva
0–2
L
1.3Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between FK Neftekhimik and Chernomorets.
What is the prediction for FK Neftekhimik vs Chernomorets?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.38.
Who will win FK Neftekhimik vs Chernomorets?
On our numbers FK Neftekhimik have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Chernomorets 31%.
How many goals will there be in FK Neftekhimik vs Chernomorets?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FK Neftekhimik vs Chernomorets?
Our predicted score is FK Neftekhimik 1–1 Chernomorets, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is FK Neftekhimik vs Chernomorets?
FK Neftekhimik vs Chernomorets (First League) kicks off on Wednesday 22 April 2026 at 15:30 (West Africa Time) at Neftekhimik Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Chayka1
FK Sokol Saratov0
Fakel2
Rodina Moskva0