Rotor Volgograd 35%Draw 28%Rodina Moskva 37%Expected goals 1.21 – 1.17
64%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.56 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.56Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.15 – our chance 53% vs 47% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultRodina Moskva to win ✗37% · @2.48
Double chanceEither team to win ✓72% · @1.39
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @2.15
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · @1.11
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 13.00
Rotor Volgograd vs Rodina Moskva: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Rotor Volgograd welcome Rodina Moskva to Volgograd Arena for a First League fixture on Wednesday 22 April (17:00 WAT).
Current form
Rotor Volgograd, last 5: WWWWD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Ska-khabarovsk, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately.
Rodina Moskva, last 5: WWWWD Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Fakel, away. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 4. Scoring is no problem – 3.0 a game lately.
Momentum favours Rodina Moskva, collecting 2.7 points per game to 2.2 for Rotor Volgograd.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Rotor Volgograd 1.2 xG, Rodina Moskva 1.2 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 39%, GG 53%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Rotor Volgograd 35%, draw 28%, Rodina Moskva 37%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 2.15.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.15 – the bookmaker implies 47%, our ratings say 53%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (64%, odds 1.56). Most likely score in line with that pick: Rotor Volgograd 1–1 Rodina Moskva. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Rotor Volgograd35%fair 2.88 · @3.14
Draw28%fair 3.51 · @2.80
Rodina Moskva37%fair 2.72 · @2.48
2.38Expected goals
1.21Rotor Volgograd xG
1.17Rodina Moskva xG
53%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–011%
0–111%
0–09%
2–18%
1–28%
From our goals model: Rotor Volgograd 1.2 – 1.2 Rodina Moskva expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Rotor Volgograd
Rodina Moskva
Attack vs First League average
+4%
+29%
Goals conceded vs average
-17%
-8%
Our expected goals here
1.42
1.25
Our own ratings from every First League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Rodina Moskva to win✗
37%
2.72
2.48
Double chance
Either team to win✓
72%
1.40
1.39
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.87
2.15 ▲
Draw no bet
Rodina Moskva (draw no bet)✗
51%
1.95
–
Asian handicap
Rodina Moskva +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
64%
1.55
1.56
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.63
1.39
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
1.11
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
–
First team to score
Rotor Volgograd to score first✓
46%
2.17
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.20
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Rotor Volgograd / FT Rotor Volgograd✗
21%
4.75
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
13.00
–
Recent results
Rotor Volgograd – last 6
WWWWDL
18 Apr
@ Ska-khabarovsk
2–1
W
5 Apr
vs FK Neftekhimik
3–1
W
29 Mar
@ Chernomorets
4–1
W
20 Mar
vs Fakel
1–0
W
9 Mar
vs Ural
1–1
D
18 Feb
vs Volga Ulyanovsk
1–3
L
2.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Rodina Moskva – last 6
WWWWDW
13 Apr
@ Fakel
3–1
W
5 Apr
@ FK Sokol Saratov
3–1
W
29 Mar
vs Ural
3–1
W
23 Mar
vs Chayka
5–2
W
14 Mar
@ Ska-khabarovsk
2–2
D
8 Mar
@ Torpedo Moskva
2–0
W
3.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Rotor Volgograd and Rodina Moskva.
What is the prediction for Rotor Volgograd vs Rodina Moskva?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.56.
Who will win Rotor Volgograd vs Rodina Moskva?
On our numbers Rotor Volgograd have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Rodina Moskva 37%.
How many goals will there be in Rotor Volgograd vs Rodina Moskva?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Rotor Volgograd vs Rodina Moskva?
Our predicted score is Rotor Volgograd 1–1 Rodina Moskva, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Rotor Volgograd vs Rodina Moskva?
Rotor Volgograd vs Rodina Moskva (First League) kicks off on Wednesday 22 April 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Volgograd Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Chayka1
Chernomorets0
FK Sokol Saratov0
Fakel2