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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Spartak Kostroma v Ska-khabarovsk: numbers & prediction

First League · Russia · Stadion Urozhay
Spartak Kostroma 53%Draw 26%Ska-khabarovsk 21% Expected goals 1.60 – 1.02
71%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.41 · bookmaker 1.32 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.32Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.93 – our chance 55% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultSpartak Kostroma to win ✓53% · @1.81
Double chanceSpartak Kostroma or draw ✓79% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.93
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.53

Spartak Kostroma vs Ska-khabarovsk: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Wednesday 22 April the First League brings Spartak Kostroma against Ska-khabarovsk at Stadion Urozhay. Kick-off: 14:00 WAT. In the table, Spartak Kostroma are 6th, upper half, on 28 points after 17 matches; Ska-khabarovsk are 15th (lower half) with 16. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Spartak Kostroma, last 3: LDD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Volga Ulyanovsk, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Ska-khabarovsk, last 5: LDLLD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Rotor Volgograd, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.5 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Spartak Kostroma 1.6 xG, Ska-khabarovsk 1.0 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 55%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Spartak Kostroma 53%, draw 26%, Ska-khabarovsk 21%.
  • Lower-risk option: Spartak Kostroma or draw (79%) at 1.18.
  • GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.93.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.93 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 55%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (71%, odds 1.32). Most likely score in line with that pick: Spartak Kostroma 1–1 Ska-khabarovsk. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Spartak Kostroma53%fair 1.90 · @1.81
Draw26%fair 3.83 · @3.42
Ska-khabarovsk21%fair 4.68 · @4.30
2.62Expected goals
1.60Spartak Kostroma xG
1.02Ska-khabarovsk xG
55%Both score
47%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
1–012%
2–110%
2–09%
0–17%
0–07%

From our goals model: Spartak Kostroma 1.6 – 1.0 Ska-khabarovsk expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

Spartak KostromaSka-khabarovsk
Attack vs First League average-4%+6%
Goals conceded vs average-5%+14%
Our expected goals here1.621.18

Our own ratings from every First League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSpartak Kostroma to win ✓53%1.901.81
Double chanceSpartak Kostroma or draw ✓79%1.271.18
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗55%1.821.93 ▲
Draw no betSpartak Kostroma (draw no bet) ✓71%1.41–
Asian handicapSka-khabarovsk +1 (Asian handicap) ✗65%1.54–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓71%1.411.32
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗53%1.871.69
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74%1.351.20
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓88%1.141.03
First team to scoreSpartak Kostroma to score first ✓57%1.77–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗42%2.36–
Half-time / full-timeHT Spartak Kostroma / FT Spartak Kostroma ✓31%3.26–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.53–

Recent results

Spartak Kostroma – last 3

LDD
28 Mar@ Volga Ulyanovsk0–1L
22 Marvs Shinnik Yaroslavl1–1D
7 Mar@ Chelyabinsk3–3D
1.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Ska-khabarovsk – last 6

LDLLDL
18 Aprvs Rotor Volgograd1–2L
5 Aprvs Volga Ulyanovsk1–1D
30 Mar@ Torpedo Moskva1–4L
22 Marvs Arsenal Tula1–3L
14 Marvs Rodina Moskva2–2D
7 Mar@ Chernomorets0–3L
1.0Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Spartak Kostroma and Ska-khabarovsk.

Spartak Kostroma vs Ska-khabarovsk head-to-head page →

First League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Nizhny Novgorod171511+3746
2Ural171043+1834
3Torpedo Moskva17953+1632
4FC Sochi171025+632
5Veles18945+231
6Spartak Kostroma17845+228
7Shinnik Yaroslavl17683+426
8FC UFA17575+222
9Volga Ulyanovsk18648-322
10Rotor Volgograd17566+521
11Chelyabinsk17638-421
12Arsenal Tula17548-1519
13Leningradets17467-1118
14Enisey17458-1417
15Ska-khabarovsk17449-516
16KAMAZ17359-914
17FK Neftekhimik174112-1413
18Tekstilshchik172510-1711

More First League predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Spartak Kostroma vs Ska-khabarovsk?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.32.

Who will win Spartak Kostroma vs Ska-khabarovsk?

On our numbers Spartak Kostroma have a 53% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Ska-khabarovsk 21%.

How many goals will there be in Spartak Kostroma vs Ska-khabarovsk?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Spartak Kostroma vs Ska-khabarovsk?

Our predicted score is Spartak Kostroma 1–1 Ska-khabarovsk, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Spartak Kostroma vs Ska-khabarovsk?

Spartak Kostroma vs Ska-khabarovsk (First League) kicks off on Wednesday 22 April 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Urozhay.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.