Value bet: Johor Darul Takzim FC to win @ 4.50 – our chance 36% vs 22% implied by the price (edge +64%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultChelsea to win ✗44% · @1.57
Double chanceEither team to win ✗81% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓70% · @1.53
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗7% · fair 15.27
Johor Darul Takzim FC vs Chelsea: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
13:00 WAT, Sunday 9 August: Johor Darul Takzim FC v Chelsea in the Friendlies Clubs, played at Sultan Ibrahim Stadium.
Current form
Johor Darul Takzim FC, last 5: WWWWL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over FC Cartagena, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 3.8 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Chelsea, last 5: WLLWL Their latest outing: 3–0 win over AC Milan, at home. 2.2 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Momentum favours Johor Darul Takzim FC, collecting 2.5 points per game to 1.5 for Chelsea.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Johor Darul Takzim FC 2.2 xG, Chelsea 1.7 xG – a total near 3.9. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 75% and GG at 70%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Johor Darul Takzim FC 36%, draw 19%, Chelsea 44%.
GG/NG: GG (70%) at 1.53.
Price worth noting: Johor Darul Takzim FC to win @4.50 – the bookmaker implies 22%, our ratings say 36%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (70%, odds 1.53 – longer than our fair 1.44, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Johor Darul Takzim FC 2–1 Chelsea. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Johor Darul Takzim FC36%fair 2.74 · @4.50
Draw19%fair 5.15 · @4.00
Chelsea44%fair 2.27 · @1.57
3.89Expected goals
2.17Johor Darul Takzim FC xG
1.72Chelsea xG
70%Both score
75%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–18%
1–18%
2–27%
1–27%
3–16%
3–25%
From our goals model: Johor Darul Takzim FC 2.2 – 1.7 Chelsea expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Johor Darul Takzim FC
Chelsea
Attack vs Friendlies Clubs average
+11%
+31%
Goals conceded vs average
-3%
+3%
Our expected goals here
2.86
1.33
Our own ratings from every Friendlies Clubs result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Chelsea to win✗
44%
2.27
1.57
Double chance
Either team to win✗
81%
1.24
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
70%
1.44
1.53 ▲
Draw no bet
Chelsea (draw no bet)
55%
1.83
–
Asian handicap
Chelsea +1 (Asian handicap)✓
64%
1.56
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
55%
1.83
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
65%
1.54
–
First team to score
Johor Darul Takzim FC to score first
55%
1.83
–
Half-time result
Johor Darul Takzim FC ahead at half-time✗
39%
2.58
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Johor Darul Takzim FC / FT Johor Darul Takzim FC✗
30%
3.28
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
7%
15.27
–
Recent results
Johor Darul Takzim FC – last 6
WWWWLW
31 Jul
vs FC Cartagena
2–0
W
23 May
vs Kuching FA
2–0
W
13 May
@ Buriram United
2–0
W
10 May
@ Kelantan United
14–1
W
6 May
vs Buriram United
1–3
L
28 Apr
@ Melaka
2–1
W
3.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Chelsea – last 6
WLLWLW
8 Aug
vs AC Milan
3–0
W
5 Aug
vs Juventus
0–1
L
1 Aug
vs Tottenham
1–2
L
28 Jul
vs Western Sydney Wanderers
6–4
W
24 May
@ Sunderland
1–2
L
19 May
vs Tottenham
2–1
W
2.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Johor Darul Takzim FC and Chelsea.
What is the prediction for Johor Darul Takzim FC vs Chelsea?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Johor Darul Takzim FC vs Chelsea?
On our numbers Johor Darul Takzim FC have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Chelsea 44%.
How many goals will there be in Johor Darul Takzim FC vs Chelsea?
We expect about 3.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 75% likely and both teams score 70% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Johor Darul Takzim FC vs Chelsea?
Our predicted score is Johor Darul Takzim FC 2–1 Chelsea, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.9 goals in total.
When is Johor Darul Takzim FC vs Chelsea?
Johor Darul Takzim FC vs Chelsea (Friendlies Clubs) kicks off on Sunday 9 August 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Sultan Ibrahim Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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