Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓56% · fair 1.79
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.61
Parma vs Sampdoria: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
19:00 WAT, Sunday 9 August: Parma v Sampdoria in the Friendlies Clubs.
Current form
Parma, last 5: DDWLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Iraklis 1908, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Sampdoria, last 5: LDWLW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Novara, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Parma 1.3 xG, Sampdoria 0.8 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 57% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Parma 53%, draw 26%, Sampdoria 22%.
Lower-risk option: Parma or draw (78%) at 1.17.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (57%, odds 1.85 – longer than our fair 1.75, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Parma 1–0 Sampdoria. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Parma53%fair 1.90 · @1.70
Draw26%fair 3.87 · @3.50
Sampdoria22%fair 4.63 · @4.20
2.18Expected goals
1.34Parma xG
0.84Sampdoria xG
44%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
1–113%
0–011%
2–010%
0–110%
2–19%
From our goals model: Parma 1.3 – 0.8 Sampdoria expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Parma
Sampdoria
Attack vs Friendlies Clubs average
-17%
-7%
Goals conceded vs average
-3%
-22%
Our expected goals here
1.19
0.90
Our own ratings from every Friendlies Clubs result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Parma to win✗
53%
1.90
1.70
Double chance
Parma or draw✗
78%
1.28
1.17
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
56%
1.79
–
Draw no bet
Parma (draw no bet)✗
71%
1.41
–
Asian handicap
Sampdoria +1 (Asian handicap)✓
69%
1.44
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
64%
1.56
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.75
1.85 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
82%
1.21
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
93%
1.08
–
First team to score
Parma to score first✗
54%
1.84
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
47%
2.12
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Parma / FT Parma✗
28%
3.53
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
15%
6.61
–
Recent results
Parma – last 6
DDWLLD
2 Aug
vs Iraklis 1908
1–1
D
30 Jul
vs Arezzo
1–1
D
24 May
vs Sassuolo
1–0
W
17 May
@ Como
0–1
L
13 Mar
@ Torino
1–4
L
8 Mar
@ Fiorentina
0–0
D
0.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Sampdoria – last 6
LDWLWL
1 Aug
vs Novara
1–2
L
23 Jul
vs Cagliari
0–0
D
18 Jul
vs Taverne
2–0
W
8 May
@ Reggiana
0–1
L
1 May
vs Sudtirol
1–0
W
17 Apr
vs Monza
0–3
L
0.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Parma and Sampdoria.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Parma vs Sampdoria?
On our numbers Parma have a 53% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Sampdoria 22%.
How many goals will there be in Parma vs Sampdoria?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Parma vs Sampdoria?
Our predicted score is Parma 1–0 Sampdoria, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Parma vs Sampdoria?
Parma vs Sampdoria (Friendlies Clubs) kicks off on Sunday 9 August 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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