Marseille 33%Draw 24%Athletic Club 43%Expected goals 1.49 – 1.75
64%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.45 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.45Odds
Picks by market
ResultAthletic Club to win ✗43% · @2.28
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓64% · @1.45
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.19
Marseille vs Athletic Club: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 9 August the Friendlies Clubs brings Marseille against Athletic Club. Kick-off: 16:30 WAT.
Current form
Marseille, last 5: WWWLL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Nimes, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 4 won, 1 lost from 5. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Athletic Club, last 5: WWDWW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Burgos, away. Away from home the record reads 5 won, 0 lost from 5. 4.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 5 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Athletic Club, collecting 2.7 points per game to 2.0 for Marseille.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Marseille 1.5 xG, Athletic Club 1.7 xG – a total near 3.2. That is an open game on paper: 60% for three or more goals, 64% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Marseille 33%, draw 24%, Athletic Club 43%.
GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.45.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (64%, odds 1.45). Most likely score in line with that pick: Marseille 1–1 Athletic Club. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Marseille33%fair 3.05 · @2.78
Draw24%fair 4.16 · @3.70
Athletic Club43%fair 2.31 · @2.28
3.23Expected goals
1.49Marseille xG
1.75Athletic Club xG
64%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
1–29%
2–18%
0–17%
2–27%
0–26%
From our goals model: Marseille 1.5 – 1.7 Athletic Club expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Marseille
Athletic Club
Attack vs Friendlies Clubs average
+5%
+42%
Goals conceded vs average
-9%
-19%
Our expected goals here
1.29
1.53
Our own ratings from every Friendlies Clubs result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Athletic Club to win✗
43%
2.31
2.28
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
64%
1.55
1.45
Draw no bet
Athletic Club (draw no bet)✗
57%
1.76
–
Asian handicap
Marseille +1 (Asian handicap)✓
71%
1.42
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
1.18
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.65
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
60%
1.66
1.55
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
77%
1.29
1.22
First team to score
Athletic Club to score first
52%
1.93
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
38%
2.64
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Athletic Club / FT Athletic Club✗
27%
3.76
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.19
–
Recent results
Marseille – last 6
WWWLLW
30 Jul
vs Nimes
2–1
W
17 May
vs Rennes
3–1
W
10 Apr
vs Metz
3–1
W
5 Apr
@ Monaco
1–2
L
22 Mar
vs Lille
1–2
L
13 Mar
vs Auxerre
1–0
W
1.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Athletic Club – last 6
WWDWWW
1 Aug
@ Burgos
3–0
W
29 Jul
@ Racing Santander
3–0
W
25 Jul
vs Eibar
2–2
D
22 Jul
@ Sestao River
2–0
W
18 Jul
@ Leioa
11–0
W
15 Jul
@ Derio
3–0
W
4.0Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Marseille and Athletic Club.
What is the prediction for Marseille vs Athletic Club?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.
Who will win Marseille vs Athletic Club?
On our numbers Marseille have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Athletic Club 43%.
How many goals will there be in Marseille vs Athletic Club?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Marseille vs Athletic Club?
Our predicted score is Marseille 1–1 Athletic Club, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Marseille vs Athletic Club?
Marseille vs Athletic Club (Friendlies Clubs) kicks off on Sunday 9 August 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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