Manchester City 46%Draw 23%Atletico Madrid 31%Expected goals 1.85 – 1.43
81%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Picks by market
ResultManchester City to win ✓46% · @2.02
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓64% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.85
Manchester City vs Atletico Madrid: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Atletico Madrid travel to face Manchester City on Sunday 9 August in the Friendlies Clubs, with Seoul World Cup Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 12:00 WAT.
Current form
Manchester City, last 5: WDLDW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over K-League Stars, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Atletico Madrid, last 5: LWLWW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Manchester United, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 3 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Manchester City 1.8 xG, Atletico Madrid 1.4 xG – a total near 3.3. That is an open game on paper: 61% for three or more goals, 64% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Manchester City 46%, draw 23%, Atletico Madrid 31%.
GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.53.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (81%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Manchester City 1–1 Atletico Madrid. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Manchester City46%fair 2.16 · @2.02
Draw23%fair 4.34 · @3.75
Atletico Madrid31%fair 3.26 · @3.30
3.27Expected goals
1.85Manchester City xG
1.43Atletico Madrid xG
64%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
2–19%
1–27%
1–07%
2–27%
2–06%
From our goals model: Manchester City 1.8 – 1.4 Atletico Madrid expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Manchester City
Atletico Madrid
Attack vs Friendlies Clubs average
+14%
+12%
Goals conceded vs average
-13%
-0%
Our expected goals here
1.79
1.32
Our own ratings from every Friendlies Clubs result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Manchester City to win✓
46%
2.16
2.02
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
64%
1.56
1.53
Draw no bet
Manchester City (draw no bet)✓
60%
1.66
–
Asian handicap
Atletico Madrid +1 (Asian handicap)✗
67%
1.50
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.64
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
61%
1.64
1.50
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.20
First team to score
Manchester City to score first✗
54%
1.84
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
37%
2.67
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Manchester City / FT Manchester City✗
29%
3.43
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.85
–
Recent results
Manchester City – last 6
WDLDWD
5 Aug
@ K-League Stars
3–1
W
1 Aug
vs Inter
1–1
D
24 May
vs Aston Villa
1–2
L
19 May
@ Bournemouth
1–1
D
13 May
vs Crystal Palace
3–0
W
4 May
@ Everton
3–3
D
2.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Atletico Madrid – last 6
LWLWWL
1 Aug
@ Manchester United
1–2
L
29 Jul
vs Getafe
4–1
W
24 May
@ Villarreal
1–5
L
17 May
vs Girona
1–0
W
12 May
@ Osasuna
2–1
W
5 May
@ Arsenal
0–1
L
1.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Manchester City and Atletico Madrid.
What is the prediction for Manchester City vs Atletico Madrid?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Manchester City vs Atletico Madrid?
On our numbers Manchester City have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Atletico Madrid 31%.
How many goals will there be in Manchester City vs Atletico Madrid?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Manchester City vs Atletico Madrid?
Our predicted score is Manchester City 1–1 Atletico Madrid, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Manchester City vs Atletico Madrid?
Manchester City vs Atletico Madrid (Friendlies Clubs) kicks off on Sunday 9 August 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Seoul World Cup Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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